Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Prev Med. 2019 Feb 14;56(4):e135–e141. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2018.11.015

Table 2.

Public Health Results Under Differing Influenza Incidence Peak and Strain Assumptions in the U.S. Population Aged ≥65 Years

Variable Influenza incidence Reduction (increase) in
Compressed,
%
Status quo,
%
Cases,
N
Hospitalizations,
N
Deaths,
N
Typical peak – February
 2013–2014a 4.14 4.17 17,503 737 205
 2014–2015b 5.06 5.09 11,423 481 134
Early peak – December
 2013–2014 4.36 4.34 (9,216) (108) (388)
 2014–2015 5.10 5.10 (1,504) (18) (63)
Late peak – April
 2013–2014 4.15 4.20 22,062 929 258
 2014–2015 5.14 5.16 11,480 483 134
a

H1N1 predominant.

b

H3N2 predominant.