Table 5.
Estimated hospitalizations and deaths potentially averted in current and target influenza vaccination programs, South Africa, 2016.
| Risk group | Number vaccinated by current program (% target population) | Estimated hospitalizations averted by current program (95% CI) | Estimated deaths averted by current program (95% CI) | Number vaccinated with target coverage* (% target population) | Estimated hospitalizations averted by target program (95% CI) | Estimated deaths averted by target program (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pregnant women -and- Infants aged 0–5 months | 167,840 (14) | 430 (245–676) | 26 (15–38) | 479,544 (40) | 1229 (701–1933) | 74 (43–109) |
| HIV-infected adults aged 15– 64 years | 198,141 (3) | 378 (49–774) | 96 (12–203) | 1,320,942(20) | 2522 (324–5160) | 637 (81–1351) |
| Children aged 6–23 months | 51,885 (3) | 58 (1–124) | 4 (0–9) | 553,441 (32) | 618 (6–1319) | 44 (1–101) |
| Adults aged ≥ 65 years | 58,182 (2) | 65 (41–93) | 55 (37–74) | 290,912 (10) | 323 (205–467) | 276 (186–370) |
| Healthcare workers | 56,639 (10) | 20 (15–26) | 7 (4–11) | 453,114 (80) | 164 (120–210) | 57 (30–85) |
| Adults and children with TB | 9,546 (3) | 15 (9–23) | 9 (6–12) | 63,639 (20) | 103 (61–156) | 60 (41–81) |
| Adults and children with other chronic illnesses | 295,901 (3) | 87 (46–132) | 49 (25–84) | 1,972,671 (20) | 580 (306–882) | 329 (164–558) |
| Total | 838,134 (4) | 1054 (405–1849) | 247 (99–431) | 5,134,263 (22) | 5,538 (1,722–10,126) | 1,478 (545–2,656) |
*
Target vaccine coverage derived from 50% coverage with an existing vaccination platform or assumption of 80% coverage of individuals presenting over a 3-month vaccination period.