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. 2019 Feb 18;74(5):466–472. doi: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2018-212456

Table 2.

Observed and expected second and higher order primary cancers over the entire 335 436 patient-years of follow-up from 6 months after diagnosis to 10 years follow-up or the 31 December 2014, overall, by subsite of first primary lung cancer and by patient characteristics. Italics denotes the lung sub-sites

Observed SPCs Expected SPCs Absolute incidence rate per 100 000 person-years Standardised incidence rate ratio
Estimate (95% CI) Estimate (95% CI)
Overall 2313 1491.9 689.6 (661.7 to 718.2) 1.55 (1.49 to 1.61)
Subsite of first primary lung cancer Small cell carcinoma 131 109.0 455.3 (380.7 to 540.2) 1.20 (1.00 to 1.43)
Adenocarcinoma 759 407.0 752.4 (699.8 to 807.9) 1.86 (1.73 to 2.00)
Squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) 873 497.9 882.8 (825.2 to 943.3) 1.75 (1.64 to 1.87)
Other NSCLC 312 223.0 619.4 (552.6 to 692.1) 1.40 (1.25 to 1.56)
Carcinoid 31 41.7 219.4 (149.1 to 311.4) 0.74 (0.51 to 1.06)
Unspecified lung 207 213.2 488.3 (424.0 to 559.5) 0.97 (0.84 to 1.11)
Site of SPC Lung 1460 993.8 435.3 (413.2 to 458.2) 1.47 (1.39 to 1.55)
Small cell carcinoma 142 94.3 42.3 (35.7 to 49.9) 1.51 (1.27 to 1.78)
NSCLC 1318 899.5 392.9 (372.0 to 414.7) 1.47 (1.39 to 1.55)
  Adenocarcinoma 485 187.8 144.6 (132.0 to 158.0) 2.58 (2.36 to 2.82)
  Squamous cell carcinoma 400 190.9 119.2 (107.8 to 131.5) 2.10 (1.90 to 2.31)
  Other NSCLC 216 143.5 64.4 (56.1 to 73.6) 1.51 (1.31 to 1.72)
  Carcinoid 13 4.4 3.9 (2.1 to 6.6) 2.98 (1.59 to 5.10)
  Unspecified lung 204 372.9 60.8 (52.8 to 69.8) 0.55 (0.47 to 0.63)
Bladder 397 299.9 118.4 (107.0 to 130.6) 1.32 (1.20 to 1.46)
Oesophageal SCC 124 52.1 37.0 (30.7 to 44.1) 2.38 (1.98 to 2.84)
Laryngeal 122 43.5 36.4 (30.2 to 43.4) 2.81 (2.33 to 3.35)
Head and neck 210 102.6 62.6 (54.4 to 71.7) 2.05 (1.78 to 2.34)
Age at diagnosis 30–49 59 17.5 316.1 (240.6 to 407.8) 3.38 (2.57 to 4.35)
50–59 332 121.0 608.3 (544.6 to 677.3) 2.74 (2.46 to 3.05)
60–69 862 428.0 779.0 (727.8 to 832.7) 2.01 (1.88 to 2.15)
70–79 833 658.9 751.4 (701.2 to 804.2) 1.26 (1.18 to 1.35)
80–99 227 266.4 558.1 (487.9 to 635.6) 0.85 (0.74 to 0.97)
Sex Male 1398 1030.7 792.7 (751.7 to 835.4) 1.36 (1.29 to 1.43)
Female 915 461.1 575.2 (538.5 to 613.7) 1.98 (1.86 to 2.12)
Deprivation quintile 1-least deprived 315 234.4 616.1 (549.9 to 688.0) 1.34 (1.20 to 1.50)
2 391 273.5 653.7 (590.5 to 721.8) 1.43 (1.29 to 1.58)
3 464 303.2 688.4 (627.2 to 754.0) 1.53 (1.39 to 1.68)
4 492 325.1 663.9 (606.5 to 725.2) 1.51 (1.38 to 1.65)
5 - most deprived 651 355.6 784.5 (725.4 to 847.2) 1.83 (1.69 to 1.98)
Period of first diagnosis 2000–2004 762 535.8 633.3 (589.2 to 680.0) 1.42 (1.32 to 1.53)
2005–2009 941 575.2 724.6 (679.1 to 772.5) 1.64 (1.53 to 1.74)
2010–2014 610 380.9 715.4 (659.8 to 774.5) 1.60 (1.48 to 1.73)
Elapsed follow-up time 6–12 months 390 450.9 401.4 (362.5 to 443.3) 0.87 (0.78 to 0.96)
1–5 years 1302 804.8 698.9 (661.4 to 737.9) 1.62 (1.53 to 1.71)
5–10 years 621 236.2 1194.9 (1102.7 to 1292.6) 2.63 (2.43 to 2.84)