Table 3.

Multinomial logistic regression results (OR) for specialty choice^*

	Anaesthesia and emergency medicine			Diagnostics			Medical specialties			Mental health			Obstetrics and gynaecology (includes medical paediatrics)			Surgical specialties
	OR	95% CI for OR		OR	95% CI for OR		OR	95% CI for OR		OR	95% CI for OR		OR	95% CI for OR		OR	95% CI for OR
		Lower bound	Upper bound		Lower bound	Upper bound		Lower bound	Upper bound		Lower bound	Upper bound		Lower bound	Upper bound		Lower bound	Upper bound
Model 1 (using non-imputed data [complete case analysis]) (n=2823)
UKFP application score	1.05**	1.03	1.08	1.07*	1.02	1.12	1.07**	1.05	1.09	0.98	0.94	1.02	1.06**	1.03	1.09	1.08**	1.05	1.12
Male	2.31**	1.76	3.04	2.16*	1.31	3.57	1.85**	1.49	2.31	1.74*	1.15	2.65	0.56*	0.39	0.80	4.11**	3.03	5.57
School leaver (<21 years)	0.92	0.64	1.33	1.12	0.53	2.35	1.82*	1.30	2.55	0.65	0.38	1.10	2.73**	1.57	4.74	1.31	0.83	2.07
Parental education (no degree)	0.60*	0.44	0.81	0.59	0.33	1.07	0.65**	0.51	0.83	0.78	0.50	1.24	0.85	0.61	1.18	0.80	0.58	1.11
State (high) school	0.85	0.62	1.16	0.66	0.38	1.13	0.78*	0.61	0.99	0.61*	0.38	0.96	0.92	0.65	1.30	0.57*	0.41	0.79
Non-white	0.49**	0.36	0.67	1.18	0.70	1.99	0.90	0.71	1.13	0.43*	0.26	0.70	0.52**	0.36	0.75	1.22	0.90	1.66
Model 2 (using multiple imputation to account for missing data in UKFP selection score in model 1) (n=6065)
UKFP application score	1.02*	1.01	1.04	1.02	0.97	1.08	1.02*	1.01	1.04	0.99	0.96	1.01	1.02*	1.00	1.05	1.04*	1.01	1.06
Male	1.90**	1.61	2.25	2.01*	1.44	2.80	1.41**	1.23	1.63	1.57*	1.21	2.04	0.55**	0.44	0.67	3.31**	2.74	4.00
School leaver (<21 years)	1.24*	1.04	1.48	0.81	0.57	1.14	1.73**	1.48	2.01	0.90	0.69	1.18	1.43*	1.17	1.75	1.23*	1.04	1.56
Parental education (no degree)	0.72	0.59	0.88	0.77	0.51	1.13	0.78*	0.67	0.92	0.97	0.73	1.29	0.92	0.72	1.16	0.85	0.68	1.05
State (high) school	0.94	0.76	1.17	0.71	0.45	1.13	0.82*	0.68	0.98	0.66*	0.49	0.90	0.95	0.74	1.21	0.73*	0.56	0.95
Non-white	0.51**	0.42	0.63	1.19	0.82	1.70	1.14	0.99	1.33	0.80	0.60	1.07	0.68*	0.55	0.85	1.35*	1.10	1.65
Model 3 (using complete analysis, without controlling for the effect of UKFP selection score) (n=6065)
Male	1.98**	1.65	2.38	2.19*	1.51	3.19	1.46**	1.25	1.70	1.73*	1.30	2.31	0.51**	0.40	0.66	3.47**	2.80	4.29
School leaver (<21 years)	1.18	0.96	1.44	0.87	0.58	1.32	1.75**	1.46	2.09	0.76	0.56	1.03	1.65**	1.29	2.10	1.23	0.97	1.57
Parental education (no degree)	0.73*	0.60	0.88	0.72	0.48	1.08	0.72**	0.61	0.85	0.95	0.71	1.29	0.91	0.73	1.13	0.80	0.64	1.00
State (high) school	0.93	0.74	1.17	0.76	0.49	1.18	0.80*	0.67	0.96	0.59*	0.42	0.82	1.02	0.79	1.32	0.68*	0.53	0.86
Non-white	0.46**	0.37	0.58	1.05	0.70	1.57	0.80*	0.68	0.95	0.68*	0.48	0.95	0.51**	0.39	0.66	0.99	0.79	1.24

Reference categories for the control variables are female, mature students, trainees with parents educated to degree level, privately funded (high) school and white ethnicity.

*OR indicate the odds of getting a post in a given specialty relative to general practice, the reference group.

*P<0.05; **P<0.001.

UKFP, UK Foundation Programme.