Effect of gene type and test of mediation model. A. Trajectories of GFR estimated from modeling the entire CRISP cohort, using gene type as a predictor variable (Model 1 in Table 3). B. Diagram of unmediated model. C. Diagram of mediated model. X, causal variable; Y, outcome variable; M, mediator variable. Path a represents the association between X and M, and path b the association between M and Y. Path c represents the association between X and Y (total effect), and path cā represents the association between X and Y after controlling for M (direct effect). The effect mediated by Irazabal class (c-cā), is called the indirect effect and is equal to the product of the coefficients, ab.