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. 2019 Apr 23;10:1900. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09863-x

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© The Author(s) 2019

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 8 — Emulator of the global surface albedo feedback and its legacy value. Global SAF as a function of the GMST rise relative to pre-industrial conditions obtained from 16 CMIP5 GCMs using the ALL/CLR method. Red line: multi-model mean; shaded red area: ±1SD; blue line and shaded area: mean and ±1SD of the two-segment emulator. The dashed line and grey shaded area show statistical mean and ±1SD of the SAF averaged between pre-industrial conditions and the level of warming corresponding to the 2xCO₂ ECS experiment (mean value of 2.8 °C, 5–95% range of 1.7 °C–4.2 °C according to IPCC AR5). Source data are provided as a Source Data file