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. 2019 Apr 23;10:1900. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09863-x

Table 1.

Climate and socio-economic scenarios obtained by pairing RCPs with SSPs

Scenario Description
Zero Emissions GHG emissions stop immediately after 2020
1.5 °C Target 50% chance of staying below 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial in 2100
2 °C Target 50% chance of staying below 2 °C relative to pre-industrial in 2100
2.5 °C Target 50% chance of staying below 2.5 °C relative to pre-industrial in 2100
NDCs Current nationally determined contributions (pledges) to reducing GHG emissions
NDCs Partial Around 30% of the NDCs are not met, consistent with long-term effects of the US’s withdrawal
Business as usual (BaU) Projections for GHG emissions without NDCs