Table 1.
Climate and socio-economic scenarios obtained by pairing RCPs with SSPs
Scenario | Description |
---|---|
Zero Emissions | GHG emissions stop immediately after 2020 |
1.5 °C Target | 50% chance of staying below 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial in 2100 |
2 °C Target | 50% chance of staying below 2 °C relative to pre-industrial in 2100 |
2.5 °C Target | 50% chance of staying below 2.5 °C relative to pre-industrial in 2100 |
NDCs | Current nationally determined contributions (pledges) to reducing GHG emissions |
NDCs Partial | Around 30% of the NDCs are not met, consistent with long-term effects of the US’s withdrawal |
Business as usual (BaU) | Projections for GHG emissions without NDCs |