Lazar 1984.
Methods | RCT Dates of data collection: not stated. Setting:
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Participants | N = 506 (268 cerclage, 238 no cerclage) Inclusion criteria “The eligibility of the rest was assessed using a scoring system." The scores were established by points given to two kinds of risk factors: ”permanent” (factors present before the index pregnancy) and “evolving” (factors that appeared or changed during the pregnancy).” “Patients with score ≥ 20 points at the first visit were deemed to be ineligible for the trial. Similarly, low risk patients with scores < 9 at the first or subsequent visits were also deemed to be ineligible. Women became eligible for the entry into the trial as soon as a score of ≥ 9 had been reached, and they remained in the trial whether or not the score subsequently rose to ≥ 20. The target trial population were pregnant women who had a risk of cervical incompetence that was lower than the pregnant women excluded for the following" Exclusion criteria
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Interventions | Cerclage versus no cerclage | |
Outcomes | Not specified | |
Notes | 242/268 women in cerclage arm received cerclage; 26 women in no cerclage arm had cerclage | |
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | “…eligible patients were randomly allocated (using prepared envelopes) into…” |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | “…eligible patients were randomly allocated (using prepared envelopes) into…” |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | Impossible to blind to participants and personnel |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Not stated if the outcome assessors were blinded |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Losses to follow up not reported. Exclusion of participants after randomisation not reported. Analysis appears to be intention‐to‐treat “Of the women entered into the trial, 90% received the management to which they had been allocated.” |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Unclear risk | Study protocol not available |
Other bias | High risk | Study stopped early: “It was decided to conduct a first analysis of the data after about 500 patients had been recruited, and to decide in the light of the results whether or not to pursue the trial. The results reported here are those of the first analysis.” Baseline imbalance: “Women allocated to the cerclage policy, however, were more likely to have had previous abortions. This difference is largely a reflection of a difference between the experimental and control groups in one of the four centres. Although selection bias may have been operating in this centre we have included data derived from cases and controls managed there because analyses conducted after excluding these patients did not make any difference to the conclusions we have reached after analysing data derived from all four centres.” |