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. 2017 Jun 8;2017(6):CD010137. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD010137.pub2

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Tight glycaemic control compared with non‐tight control for preventing diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and its progression.

Tight glycaemic control compared with non‐tight control for preventing DKD and its progression
Patient or population: patients with diabetes
Intervention: tight glycaemic control
Comparison: non‐tight glycaemic control
Outcomes Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI) Relative effect
 (95% CI) No. of participants
 (studies) Confidence of the evidence
 (GRADE) Comments
Assumed risk Corresponding risk
Non‐tight control Tight control
Doubling serum creatinine
8.3 years
39 per 1000 33 per 1000 (24.95 to 43.29)
NNT: 167
RR 0.84 (0.64 to 1.11) 26,874 (4) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
 low Imprecision (‐1)
Heterogeneity (‐1)
ESKD
5.9 years
3 per 1000 2 per 1000 (1.02 to 3.36)
NNT: 1000
RR 0.62 (0.34 to 1.12) 23,332 (4) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
 low Imprecision (‐1)
Heterogeneity (‐1)
Sudden death
4.6 years
2 per 1000 2 per 1000 (0.52 to 5.14)
NNT: 0
RR 0.82 (0.26 to 2.57) 5,913 (4) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
 very low Study limitation (‐1)
Imprecision (‐1)
Heterogeneity (‐1)
All‐cause mortality
5.6 years
16 per 1000 16 per 1000 (13.76‐18.08)
NNT: 0
RR 0.99 (0.86 to 1.13) 29,094 (9) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
 moderate Imprecision (‐1)
Cardiovascular mortality
4.4 years
9 per 1000 11 per 1000 (6.57 to 17.28)
NNH: 500
RR 1.19 (0.73 to 1.92) 23,673 (6) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
 low Imprecision (‐1)
Heterogeneity (‐1)
Non‐fatal myocardial infarction
5.6 years
8 per 1000 7 per 1000 (5.36 to 7.92)
NNT: 1000
RR 0.82 (0.67 to 0.99) 25,596 (5) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
 moderate Study limitation (‐1)
Onset microalbuminuria
5.4 years
46 per 1000 39 per 1000 (35.42 to 43.24)
NNT: 143
RR 0.85 (0.77 to 0.94) 19,933 (4) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
 moderate Heterogeneity (‐1)
Progression of microalbuminuria
5.8 years
4 per 1000 2 per 1000 (1.52 to 3.72)
NNT: 500
RR 0.59 (0.38 to 0.93) 13,266 (5) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
 moderate Heterogeneity (‐1)
*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is calculated from data in the meta‐analyses. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
 CI: Confidence Interval; RR: Risk Ratio; NNT: Number Needed to Treat; NNH: Number Needed to Harm.
We did not downgrade for reason of publication bias as insufficient studies contributed to treatment estimates to draw meaningful conclusions
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
 High confidence: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
 Moderate confidence: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
 Low confidence: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
 Very low confidence: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

ESKD ‐ end‐stage kidney disease