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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Psychol Addict Behav. 2019 Mar 14;33(3):297–303. doi: 10.1037/adb0000455

Table 3.

Alcohol outcomes predicted by normative misperceptions based on general and important peer referents (n=1313)

Heavy drinking frequency
T1 Crude T1 Adjusted T2 Crude T2 Adjusted
b SE p b SE p b SE p b SE p
Misperceptions based on same-gender general peer
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Overestimate 0.53 0.21 0.01 0.76 0.21 <.001 0.44 0.19 0.02 0.63 0.19 <.01
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.28 0.39 0.48 −0.59 0.38 0.13 0.21 0.36 0.57 0.05 0.36 0.89
Overestimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.81 0.35 0.02 −1.35 0.35 <.001 −0.23 0.32 0.47 −0.59 0.33 0.07
Misperceptions based on important peers
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Overestimate 1.24 0.17 <.001 1.09 0.17 <.001 0.58 0.16 <.001 0.49 0.17 <.01
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.63 0.19 <.01 −0.69 0.19 <.001 0.09 0.19 0.64 0.04 0.19 0.81
Overestimate (ref) v. Underestimate −1.86 0.17 <.001 −1.77 0.17 <.001 −0.49 0.17 <.01 −0.45 0.17 <.01
Heavy drinking intentions
T1 Crude T1 Adjusted T2 Crude T2 Adjusted
b SE p b SE p b SE p b SE p
Misperceptions based on same-gender general peer
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Overestimate 0.28 0.08 <.01 0.35 0.08 <.001 0.06 0.08 0.45 0.14 0.08 0.09
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.04 0.15 0.78 −0.15 0.15 0.31 −0.04 0.16 0.80 −0.13 0.16 0.42
Overestimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.32 0.13 0.02 −0.50 0.13 <.001 0.10 0.14 0.46 −0.27 0.14 0.06
Misperceptions based on important peers
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Overestimate 0.51 0.06 <.001 0.47 0.07 <.001 0.33 0.07 <.001 0.31 0.07 <.001
Accurately estimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.003 0.07 0.97 0.001 0.07 0.99 0.10 0.08 0.21 0.10 0.08 0.23
Overestimate (ref) v. Underestimate −0.52 0.07 <.001 −0.47 0.07 <.001 −0.23 0.07 <.01 −0.21 0.07 <.01

Adjusted effects account for demographic covariates (age, gender, race, ethnicity), membership on a varsity athletic team, residence in a substance free dorm, receipt of financial aid, identification as a first-generation student, and intervention status. Models with adjusted effects for important peers also control for misperceptions of general students’ heavy drinking and total network size.