Table 3A.
Prophylactic Drug Treatment vs. Placebo Study risk of bias: Low risk of bias Patients or populations: Male & female participants with common or classic episodic migraine & no comorbidities Settings: Neurologic, psychiatric, or migraine clinics Interventions: Flunarizine, metoprolol, or valproic-acid capsule Comparison: Placebo capsule | |||
---|---|---|---|
Outcomes | Intervention | # of participants & list of studies |
Quality of the evidence per GRADEa–h |
Results with prophylactic drug treatment | |||
Headache frequency at a 3-month follow-up | 7 studies reported a significant reduction in headache frequency at a 3-month follow-up in the prophylactic drug treatment group, compared to the placebo group Reductions in frequency of migraine attacks: Frenken & Nuijten, 198415 (P = 0.029; flunarizine MD: 1.2; placebo MD: 0.4) Louis, 198116 (P < 0.001; flunarizine pretreatment median: 7 [range: 6–14]; flunarizine post-treatment median: 2 [range: 0–5]; placebo pretreatment median: 7 [range: 6–12]; placebo post-treatment median: 3 [range: 2–5]) Mendenopoulos et al., 198517 (P = 0.033; NNT: 1.23) Sørenson et al., 198618 (P = 0.002; NNT: 2.5) Sorge et al., 198819 (P < 0.001; flunarizine MD: 1.7; placebo MD: 0.7) Andersson et al., 198321 (P < 0.05; flunarizine MD: 1.3; placebo MD: 0.53) Reductions in migraine days: Steiner et al., 198822 (P = 0.05; metoprolol pretreatment mean: 7.1 [SD]: 3.8); metoprolol post-treatment mean: 5.2 [SD: 4.1]; placebo pretreatment mean: 6.5 [SD: 3.4]; placebo post-treatment mean: 5.5 [SD: 2.7]) |
335 (in 7 studies) Frenken & Nuijten, 198415 Louis, 198116 Mendenopoulos et al., 198517 Sørensen et al., 198618 Sorge et al., 198819 Andersson et al., 198321 Steiner et al., 198822 |
High Limitations: 0 Imprecision: 0 Inconsistency: 0 Indirectness: 0 Other: 0A |
Headache frequency at a 6-month follow-up | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Response (at least 50% reduction of headache frequency) at a 3-months follow-up | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Response (at least 50% reduction of headache frequency) at a 6-month follow-up | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Evidence from randomized controlled trials are initially classified as high quality and then downgraded based on five criteria: (1) limitations in design; (2) imprecision of results; (3) inconsistency of results; (4) indirectness of evidence; and (5) high probability of publication bias.
Evidence from observational studies are initially classified as low quality and then upgraded based on three criteria: (1) large magnitude of effect; (2) all plausible confounders would reduce a demonstrated effect when results show no effect; (3) dose–response gradient.
Evidence obtained from study designs with a high risk of bias.
Evidence obtained from different study designs.
No direct comparison of therapeutic dose with sham therapy.
Lack of allocation concealment and blinding.
Small study group.
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence:
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on confidence in the estimate of effect and might change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: The reviewers are very uncertain about the estimate.
GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation scale; MD, mean difference; NNT, number needed to treat; SD, standard deviation; NA, not available (i.e., no available data).