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. 2019 Feb 6;154(4):286–293. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2018.5097

Table 2. Hierarchical Negative Binomial Model for County MVC Mortality.

Parameter Mortality Rate Ratio (95% CI) P Value
County EMS Response Time
Median EMS response time, min
<7 1 [Reference] <.001
7-8 1.24 (1.15-1.34)
9-11 1.33 (1.23-1.44)
≥12 1.46 (1.32-1.61)
Population Demographic Group
Male sex 1.59 (1.52-1.6) <.001
Age, y
<15 1 [Reference] <.001
15-34 7.39 (6.88-7.94)
35-64 4.39 (4.08-4.71)
≥65 5.71 (5.31-6.14)
County Rurality
Rural-urban continuum
Urban 1 [Reference] .002
Suburban 1.03 (0.94-1.13)
Rural 1.18 (1.09-1.27)
Wilderness 1.26 (1.14-1.40)
Population density, people/mile2
<16 1.90 (1.66-2.18) <.001
17-42 1.46 (1.32-1.62)
43-108 1.34 (1.23-1.45)
≥109 1 [Reference]
EMS Time Intervals
On-scene time (per 2-min increase) 1.01 (1.00-1.02) .23
Transport time (per 5-min increase) 1.01 (0.99-1.02) .27
Measures of Access to Care
Proximity to level I or II trauma center
Within county 0.65 (0.59-0.72) <.001
Adjacent county 0.98 (0.92-1.04)
No proximate trauma center 1 [Reference]
Population ≤25 miles of HEMS base (per 10% increase) 1.00 (1.00-1.01) .27
Traffic Safety Laws
Maximum speed limit >65 mph
Urban highways and interstates 1.12 (0.96-1.32) .14
Rural highways and interstates 1.69 (1.32-2.15) <.001
Primary enforcement of seat belt laws 0.88 (0.76-1.02) .09
Administrative license suspension 0.86 (0.68-1.08) .20
Text messaging ban 0.99 (0.84-1.16) .91

Abbreviations: EMS, emergency medical service; HEMS, helicopter emergency medical service; MVC, motor vehicle crash.