Table 1. Predicted Changes in National SUD-Related Deaths in 2015 Associated With Medicaid Eligibility Scenarios in 2014.
| Scenario | Predicted Change in SUD-Related Deaths, No. (95% CI)a | Change, % |
|---|---|---|
| Raising the Medicaid eligibility threshold in all states with thresholds below the median to the median threshold (133% of federal poverty level) | −2359 (−4635 to −83) | −2.67 |
| Raising the Medicaid eligibility threshold in all states to match the level of state with the highest threshold (205% of federal poverty level) | −5207 (−10 231 to −182) | −5.89 |
Abbreviation: SUD, substance use disorder.
a
Negative values indicate lives saved. Changes in SUD-related deaths are the predicted outcome associated with nationwide changes in the given policies. Predicted changes were estimated from a fixed-effects regression model of SUD-related deaths on Medicaid eligibility threshold with economic controls demographic controls and other policy controls.