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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 May 4.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2018 Nov;15(11):683–698. doi: 10.1038/s41575-018-0053-2

Table 1 |.

Level of evidence for obesity and physical activity as risk factors for gastrointestinal cancer

Cancer site WCRFa
IARCb
Level of evidence Risk Level of evidence Risk

Obesity
Colorectum Strong convincing Increased Sufficient Increased

Liver Strong convincing Increased Sufficient Increased

Oesophagus Strong convincing Increased Sufficient Increased

Pancreas Strong convincing Increased Sufficient Increased

Stomach • Strong probable (non-cardia) • Increased (non-cardia) Sufficientc Increasedc
• Limited (cardia) • No conclusion (cardia)

Physical activity
Colorectum Strong convincing Decreased NA NA

Liver Limited-suggestive Decreased NA NA

Oesophagus Limited-suggestive Decreased NA NA

Pancreas Limited No conclusion NA NA

Stomach Limited No conclusion NA NA

IARC, International Agency for Research on Cancer; NA, not available; WCRF, World Cancer Research Fund.

a

Definitions by the WCRF are as follows: strong convincing evidence is defined as judgement of a convincing causal relationship, which is highly unlikely to be modified in the near future as new evidence accumulates; strong probable evidence is defined as a judgement of a probable causal relationship, which would generally justify goals and recommendations designed to reduce the incidence of a disease; limited-suggestive evidence indicates that there is too limited evidence to allow a judgement of a probable or a convincing causal relationship, but there is evidence suggestive of a direction of effect; limited evidence indicates that there is insufficient evidence to allow a firm conclusion.

b

Sufficient evidence (as defined by the IARC Working Group on Energy Balance and Cancer) indicates the presence of a preventive relationship in humans between the absence of body fatness and the risk of cancer that has been observed in studies where chance, bias and confounding factors could be ruled out with confidence.

c

IARC assessments do not distinguish between cardia and non-cardia stomach cancer.