Table 7.
Annual Probabilities of AE and Transitions between States for COPD patients.
| Parameters | Probability |
|---|---|
| probability of mild AE with GOLD 1-2 in Western medicine group | 0.67 |
| probability of severe AE with GOLD 1-2 in Western medicine group | 0.33 |
| probability of mild AE with GOLD 3-4 in Western medicine group | 0.5 |
| probability of severe AE with GOLD 3-4 in Western medicine group | 0.5 |
| probability of mild AE with GOLD 1-2 in TCM group | 0.82 |
| probability of severe AE with GOLD 1-2 in TCM group | 0.18 |
| probability of mild AE with GOLD 3-4 in TCM group | 0.53 |
| probability of severe AE with GOLD 3-4 in TCM group | 0.47 |
| probability of mild AE with GOLD 1-2 in combined group | 0.67 |
| probability of severe AE with GOLD 1-2 in combined group | 0.33 |
| probability of mild AE with GOLD 3-4 in combined group | 0.53 |
| probability of severe AE with GOLD 3-4 in combined group | 0.47 |
| fatality rate of patients with GOLD 3-4 | 0.032 [19] |
| mortality rates of patients with GOLD 1-2 | 0.0286& |
| mortality rates of patients with GOLD 3-4 | 0.126 [6] |
| Probability of transforming GOLD 1-2 into GOLD 3-4 in Western medicine group | 0.215 |
| Probability of transforming GOLD 1-2 into GOLD 3-4 in TCM group | 0.170 |
| Probability of transforming GOLD 1-2 into GOLD 3-4 in combined group | 0.124 |
&Data are derived from assumption.