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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Mar 1.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Rev Clin Oncol. 2019 Mar;16(3):168–184. doi: 10.1038/s41571-018-0116-x

Table 3.

Thyroid cancer active surveillance cohorts

Institution Estimated enrollment Inclusion criteria Exclusion criteria Outcomes
Kuma Hospital, Kuma, Japan131 n = 1,211 • Diagnosed using ultrasonography -guided fine- needle aspiration
• Absence of distant or nodal metastasis, substantial extrathyroidal extension, aggressive cytology
• Presence of tumours attached to the trachea or located on the course of the laryngeal nerve • Timeframe: 10 years
• Rate of progression of thyroid papillary microcarcinoma
Cancer Instititue Hospital, Tokyo, Japan123 n = 230 • Diagnosed using ultrasonography-guided fine- needle aspiration • Presence of clinically apparent distant metastases, lymphadenopathy (≥1 cm), or extrathyroidal invasion • Timeframe: 13 years
• Rate of progression of thyroid papillary microcarcinoma
Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, South Korea (NCT02938702) n = 400 • Diagnosed using fine-needle aspiration or needle biopsy of Bethesda category V or VI
• Thyroid cancer <1 cm in diameter
• Cannot routinely follow up according to the study schedule
• Hyperthyroidism that needs treatment
• Timeframe: 5 years
• Rate of progression of thyroid papillary microcarcinoma*
• Comparison of rate of disease progression between active surveillance group and surgery group
Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, Seoul, South Korea (NCT02952612) n = 300 • <1 cm solitary nodule
• Surrounded by ≥2 mm nonmalignant thyroid parenchyma
• Subcapsular locations not adjacent to surrounding structures, recurrent laryngeal nerve, trachea, or carotid artery
• No evidence of invasion to surrounding structures, recurrent laryngeal nerve, trachea, or carotid artery
• No extrathyroidal extension
• N0 and M0 stage disease
• Combined severe comorbidities or inoperable condition (optional)
• No wish to undergo surgery and willingness to accept active surveillance
• No history of radiotherapy to the head and neck area
• ≥1 cm nodule and/or multifocal nodules, regardless of size
• PTC variants associated with poor prognosis (tall cell variant, columnar variant, hobnail variant, or other types of thyroid cancer)
• Subcapsular locations adjacent to surrounding structures, such as the recurrent laryngeal nerve, trachea, or carotid artery
• Evidence of invasion of surrounding structures, recurrent laryngeal nerve, trachea, or carotid artery
• Extrathyroidal extension
• N1 and/or M1 disease
• Documented increase in tumour size, according to ATA guidelines in a previously confirmed papillary thyroid microcarcinoma
• Age <18 years
• Timeframe: 5 years
• Progression of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA (NCT02363595) n = 300 • Biopsy-proven PTC (or case suspected of being PTC) confirmed by MSKCC cytopathologist
• Being followed with active surveillance at MSKCC
• Biopsied index nodule ≤2 cm in maximum dimension
• Thyroid and neck ultrasonography performed and interpreted by a MSKCC radiologist <6 months prior to study entry
• Biopsied index nodule >2 cm in any dimension
• Age <18 years
• Time frame: 4 years
• Estimate the rate of disease progression
Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA (NCT02609685) n = 216 • Pathologically confirmed Bethesda V or VI thyroid nodules with papillary thyroid carcinoma
• ≤1.5 cm nodules by ultrasonographic criteria
• Ability to understand and the willingness to sign a written informed consent and Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act authorization form
• High-grade or poorly differentiated PTC variants
• Central or lateral neck lymphadenopathy suspected of being PTC
• Unfavorable nodule location (such as near dorsal surface [by recurrent laryngeal nerve]); adjacent to the trachea (risk of cartilage invasion)
• History of radiation to neck
• Time frame: from time of diagnosis up to 10-years of follow up
• Rate of disease progression over a 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year period
• Percentage of patients electing to undergo surgery despite absence of clinical progression
• Impact of thyroid-stimulating hormone suppression on thyroid nodule growth (in cm) as measured using ultrasonography over 5 years
• Identify the clinicopathological features associated with disease progression in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma followed with active surveillance by 5 years
• Identify the genetic factors associated with an increased risk of disease progression at 5 years
• Quality of life score as measured using the City of Hope Quality of Life Scale
• Anxiety score as measured using the Memorial Anxiety Scale at 5 years

ATA, American Thyroid Association; MSKCC, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; PTC, papillary thyroid cancer.

*

Progression defined as an increase in tumour size >3 mm in diameter, or a tumour that involves new lymph nodes, or leads to the development of metastases.

Progression defined as any change in the size and/or shape of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma detected using thyroid sonography.