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. 2019 Apr 24;9(4):e026881. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-026881

Table 5.

Prognostic factors of residential care in older patients discharge alive after an acute emergency department (ED) contact

%, total (n) 0–30 days 0–360 days
N, (%) Crude SHR
(95% CI)
P value Adjusted SHR
(95% CI)*
P value %, (n) Crude SHR
(95% CI)
P value Adjusted SHR (95% CI)* P value
Gender
 Female 53.8 (1596) 6.9 (110) 1 (ref) 1 10.1 (161) 1 1
 Male 46.2 (1368) 6.2 (85) 0.90 (0.68 to 1.19) 0.460 1.30 (0.95 to 1.78) 0.099 8.6 (117) 0.84 (0.66 to 1.06) 0.144 1.28 (0.98 to 1.67) 0.067
Age 1.09 (1.07 to 1.10) <0.001 1.05 (1.03 to 1.07) <0.001 1.06 (1.05 to 1.07) <0.001 1.03 (1.01 to 1.04) <0.001
Charlson Comorbidity Index
 0 31.7 (939) 5.6 (53) 1 1 8.5 (80) 1 1
 1–2 40.9 (1211) 7.1 (86) 1.26 (0.90 to 1.77) 0.175 1.03 (0.74 to 1.45) 0.849 10.3 (125) 1.22 (0.92 to 1.62) 0.161 1.03 (0.77 to 1.39) 0.841
 ≥3 27.4 (814) 6.9 (56) 1.22 (0.84 to 1.77) 0.287 0.91 (0.62 to 1.33) 0.626 9.0 (73) 1.05 (0.77 to 1.44) 0.760 0.76 (0.53 to 1.08) 0.122
Living status
 Not alone 47.0 (1393) 4.3 (60) 1 1 5.7 (80) 1 1
 Alone 50.0 (1540) 8.5 (131) 2.00 (1.48 to 2.70) <0.001 1.21 (0.85 to 1.73) 0.295 12.7 (196) 2.29 (1.77 to 2.97) <0.001 1.50 (1.11 to 2.03) 0.009
Urgency
 Less urgent 61.0 (1809) 6.2 (112) 1 1 9.12 (165) 1 1
 Urgent 37.3 (1107) 7.2 (80) 1.17 (0.88 to 1.55) 0.269 1.21 (0.91 to 1.61) 0.184 9.8 (108) 1.08 (0.85 to 1.37) 0.548 1.12 (0.88 to 1.43) 0.358
No of medications
 <5 37.7 (1116) 6.9 (77) 1 1 9.3 (104) 1 1
 ≥5 62.3 (1848) 6.4 (118) 0.92 (0.70 to 1.22) 0.576 0.71 (0.53 to 0.97) 0.030 9.4 (174) 1.01 (0.79 to 1.28) 0.945 0.81 (0.62 to 1.05) 0.116
Length of stay
 ED-visit 34.1 (1012) 1.1 (11) 1 1 5.6 (57) 1 1
 <48 hours 12.9 (382) 0.3 (1) 0.24 (0.03 to 1.86) 0.172 0.23 (0.03 to 1.74) 0.153 8.1 (31) 1.44 (0.94 to 2.21) 0.096 1.43 (0.93 to 2.19) 0.104
 ≥48 hours 53.0 (1570) 11.7 (183) 11.07 (6.05 to 20.24) <0.001 8.28 (4.49 to 15.24) <0.001 12.1 (190) 2.25 (1.68 to 3.02) <0.001 1.76 (1.30 to 2.39) <0.001
Municipality healthcare
 Independent 50.3 (1772) 2.9 (51) 1 1 4.5 (79) 1 1
 Dependent 33.9 (1192) 12.1 (144) 4.31 (3.14 to 5.91) <0.001 2.64 (1.82 to 3.82) <0.001 16.7 (199) 3.98 (3.07 to 5.17) <0.001 3.26 (2.34 to 4.54) <0.001

Proportions, SHRs, and p-values < 0.05 presented as bold values.

*Competing risks regression model adjusted for gender, age as continuous variable, Charlson Comorbidity Index (0, 1–2, ≥3), number of medications (<5, ≥5), length of stay, living alone, urgency level (urgent, less urgent) and municipality healthcare the month before index contact as categorical variable.

SHR, sub-HR.