Table 5. Parameter estimates for the SCD by Hospitals and PHCF using the ARIMA model for FMS policy (June 2011 to Nov 2014).
| Co-efficient | SE | t-statistic | p-value | 95% CI | RE % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I) Hospitals | ||||||
| Fit Test | Stationary R2 = 0.700; Ljung-Box Q(18) = 11.989 (p = 0.801; d.f. = 17) | |||||
| Pre-Slope | -0.390 | 1.833 | -0.213 | 0.833 | -4.1–3.3 | - |
| Interact | 5.458 | 3.373 | 1.618 | 0.114 | -1.4–12.3 | - |
| Post-Slope | 5.068 | |||||
| Level effect | ||||||
| 1 | 115.989 | 38.009 | 3.052 | 0.004 | 39.0–193.0 | 34.27 |
| 3 | 126.538 | 36.786 | 3.440 | 0.001 | 52.0–201.1 | 38.15 |
| 6 | 143.280 | 38.582 | 3.714 | 0.001 | 65.1–221.4 | 42.46 |
| 9 | 159.656 | 42.283 | 3.776 | 0.001 | 74.0–245.3 | 49.20 |
| 12 | 176.031 | 47.874 | 3.677 | 0.001 | 79.0–273.0 | 53.12 |
| 18 | 208.781 | 62.565 | 3.337 | 0.002 | 82.0–335.4 | 63.34 |
| II) Primary Health Care Facilities (PHCF) | ||||||
| Fit Test | Stationary R2 = 0.863; Ljung-Box Q(18) = 14.355 (p = 0.642; d.f. = 17) | |||||
| Pre-slope | 8.967 | 2.644 | 3.391 | 0.002 | 3.6–14.3 | - |
| Interact | -9.224 | 4.948 | -1.864 | 0.070 | -19.2–0.8 | - |
| Post-Slope | -0.257 | |||||
| Level Effect | ||||||
| 1 | 189.427 | 52.300 | 3.622 | 0.001 | 83.4–295.4 | 28.72 |
| 3 | 184.745 | 51.680 | 3.580 | 0.001 | 80.2–289.3 | 28.46 |
| 6 | 143.303 | 53.985 | 2.655 | 0.012 | 33.9–252.7 | 20.36 |
| 9 | 115.629 | 60.078 | 1.925 | 0.062 | -6.0–237.3 | 16.86 |
| 12 | 87.955 | 68.884 | 1.277 | 0.210 | -51.6–227.5 | 12.03 |
| 18 | 32.605 | 91.314 | 0.357 | 0.723 | -152.4–217.6 | 4.00 |