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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2019 May;28(5):917–925. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-18-1116

Table 1:

Medicare claims brain metastasis classification accuracy

Primary Predicted True Sens PPV Spec Kappa
Algorithm: Synchronous
Lung Overall 5,100 6,789 0.58 0.77 0.98 0.63 (0.62 – 0.64)
Adenocarcinoma 2,103 2,806 0.59 0.79 0.98 0.63 (0.62 – 0.65)
Carcinoma 403 571 0.57 0.80 0.98 0.62 (0.59 – 0.66)
NSCLC 506 745 0.56 0.82 0.98 0.62 (0.58 – 0.65)
Other 572 784 0.58 0.80 0.99 0.65 (0.62 – 0.68)
SCLC 872 1,144 0.59 0.78 0.97 0.62 (0.60 – 0.65)
Squamous 644 739 0.57 0.66 0.99 0.60 (0.56 – 0.63)
Breast Overall 196 203 0.46 0.47 1.00 0.46 (0.40 – 0.53)
Her2−/Hr+ 103 86 0.41 0.34 1.00 0.37 (0.28 – 0.46)
Her2+/ Hr(+/−) 27 31 0.48 0.56 1.00 0.51 (0.36 – 0.67)
Other 38 50 0.44 0.58 1.00 0.50 (0.37 – 0.63)
Triple (−) 28 36 0.58 0.75 1.00 0.65 (0.52 – 0.79)
Skin Overall 152 230 0.55 0.83 1.00 0.66 (0.60 – 0.71)
MMJN * * 0.43 0.60 1.00 0.50 (0.15 – 0.85)
Nevi & Melanomas 134 206 0.54 0.83 1.00 0.65 (0.59 – 0.71)
Other 13 * 0.71 0.92 1.00 0.79 (0.64 – 0.95)
Algorithm: Lifetime
Lung Overall 9,138 6,789 0.65 0.48 0.92 0.49 (0.48 – 0.50)
Adenocarcinoma 3,630 2,806 0.65 0.50 0.91 0.50 (0.48 – 0.51)
Carcinoma 575 571 0.63 0.62 0.95 0.57 (0.53 – 0.61)
NSCLC 804 745 0.61 0.57 0.92 0.52 (0.49 – 0.55)
Other 1,028 784 0.65 0.50 0.95 0.52 (0.49 – 0.55)
SCLC 1,863 1,144 0.67 0.41 0.84 0.40 (0.38 – 0.43)
Squamous 1,238 739 0.64 0.38 0.95 0.45 (0.42 – 0.48)
Breast Overall 967 203 0.57 0.12 0.99 0.19 (0.16 – 0.22)
Her2−/Hr+ 430 86 0.53 0.11 0.99 0.18 (0.13 – 0.22)
Her2+/ Hr(+/−) 181 31 0.68 0.12 0.97 0.19 (0.12 – 0.26)
Other 144 50 0.54 0.19 0.99 0.27 (0.19 – 0.36)
Triple (−) 212 36 0.58 0.10 0.96 0.16 (0.10 – 0.22)
Skin Overall 658 230 0.66 0.23 0.98 0.33 (0.29 – 0.37)
MMJN 114 * 0.71 0.04 0.99 0.08 (0.01 – 0.15)
Nevi & Melanomas 498 206 0.65 0.27 0.97 0.36 (0.32 – 0.41)
Other 46 * 0.82 0.30 0.95 0.42 (0.27 – 0.57)

For Medicare claims data algorithms identifying synchronous and lifetime brain metastases based on the presence of a diagnosis code for secondary cancer of the CNS and a procedure code indicating intracranial imaging within sixty days of the other, this table shows classification accuracy compared to a SEER SBM gold standard. The rows under “Algorithm: Synchronous” represent such an algorithm with the additional criteria that codes must have occurred within 60 days of primary cancer diagnosis, whereas “Algorithm: Lifetime” indicates that codes may have occurred at anytime in Medicare claims. “Sens” refers to sensitivity; “spec”, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value. An asterisk (“*”) represents values that are suppressed to avoid reporting data from 1 through 11 cases.