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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2019 May;28(5):917–925. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-18-1116

Table 2:

Diagnosis code-only algorithms performance

Primary Predicted True Sens PPV Spec Kappa
Algorithm: Synchronous
Lung Overall 6,445 6,789 0.74 0.78 0.98 0.73 (0.72 – 0.74)
Adenocarcinoma 2,643 2,806 0.75 0.79 0.97 0.74 (0.72 – 0.75)
Carcinoma 539 571 0.75 0.79 0.97 0.74 (0.70 – 0.77)
NSCLC 664 745 0.73 0.82 0.97 0.74 (0.71 – 0.77)
Other 723 784 0.74 0.80 0.99 0.75 (0.73 – 0.78)
SCLC 1,079 1,144 0.74 0.78 0.97 0.72 (0.69 – 0.74)
Squamous 797 739 0.72 0.67 0.98 0.68 (0.65 – 0.71)
Breast Overall 294 203 0.60 0.41 1.00 0.49 (0.43 – 0.54)
Her2−/Hr+ 167 86 0.57 0.29 1.00 0.39 (0.31 – 0.46)
Her2+/ Hr(+/−) 34 31 0.55 0.50 1.00 0.52 (0.37 – 0.67)
Other 55 50 0.60 0.55 1.00 0.57 (0.46 – 0.68)
Triple (−) 38 36 0.69 0.66 1.00 0.67 (0.55 – 0.80)
Skin Overall 197 230 0.72 0.84 1.00 0.78 (0.73 – 0.82)
MMJN * * 0.43 0.60 1.00 0.50 (0.15 – 0.85)
Nevi & Melanomas 177 206 0.72 0.84 1.00 0.77 (0.73 – 0.82)
Other 15 17 0.82 0.93 1.00 0.87 (0.75 – 1.00)
Algorithm: Lifetime
Lung Overall 12,126 6,789 0.85 0.48 0.89 0.55 (0.54 – 0.56)
Adenocarcinoma 4,807 2,806 0.86 0.50 0.88 0.56 (0.55 – 0.58)
Carcinoma 780 571 0.83 0.61 0.92 0.65 (0.62 – 0.68)
NSCLC 1,102 745 0.84 0.57 0.89 0.61 (0.58 – 0.64)
Other 1,359 784 0.84 0.49 0.93 0.58 (0.55 – 0.60)
SCLC 2,411 1,144 0.86 0.41 0.79 0.45 (0.42 – 0.47)
Squamous 1,667 739 0.85 0.38 0.93 0.49 (0.46 – 0.51)
Breast Overall 1,467 203 0.76 0.11 0.98 0.18 (0.16 – 0.21)
Her2−/Hr+ 701 86 0.74 0.09 0.98 0.16 (0.12 – 0.19)
Her2+/ Hr(+/−) 255 31 0.81 0.10 0.96 0.17 (0.11 – 0.22)
Other 217 50 0.72 0.17 0.99 0.27 (0.20 – 0.34)
Triple (−) 294 36 0.83 0.10 0.95 0.17 (0.12 – 0.23)
Skin Overall 892 230 0.87 0.22 0.97 0.35 (0.31 – 0.38)
MMJN 150 * 0.86 0.04 0.98 0.07 (0.02 – 0.13)
Nevi & Melanomas 689 206 0.87 0.26 0.96 0.39 (0.35 – 0.43)
Other 53 * 0.88 0.28 0.93 0.40 (0.26 – 0.55)

For Medicare claims data algorithms identifying synchronous and lifetime brain metastases based only on the presence of a diagnosis code for secondary cancer of the CNS, this table shows classification accuracy compared to a SEER SBM gold standard. The rows under “Algorithm: Synchronous” represent such an algorithm with the additional criteria that codes must have occurred within 60 days of primary cancer diagnosis, whereas “Algorithm: Lifetime” indicates that codes may have occurred at any time in Medicare claims. “Sens” refers to sensitivity; “spec”, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value. An asterisk (“*”) represents values that are suppressed to avoid reporting data from 1 through 11 cases. NSCLC stands for non-small-cell lung cancer; SCLC, small-cell lung cancer; MMJN, malignant melanoma in junctional nevi.