Table 2. Outcomes by Age, Breast Density, and Mammography Typea.
Mammography Type, Age, Breast Density | Patients With 1 y of Follow-up, No. | Biopsy Rate, Per 1000 Examinations | Cancers, No. | Cancer Rate, per 1000 Examinations | Cancer Detection Rate, per 1000 Examinations | Sensitivity, % | Specificity, % | Positive Predictive Value–1, %b | Positive Predictive Value–3, %b |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Digital Mammography | |||||||||
40-49 y | |||||||||
Nondense | 13 634 | 17.68 | 39 | 2.86 | 2.71 | 94.9 | 84.9 | 1.78 | 15.35 |
Dense | 13 655 | 29.00 | 51 | 3.73 | 2.93 | 78.4 | 82.3 | 1.64 | 11.62 |
50-64 y | |||||||||
Nondense | 36 729 | 14.40 | 146 | 3.98 | 3.68 | 92.5 | 91.1 | 3.97 | 26.47 |
Dense | 17 065 | 21.68 | 100 | 5.86 | 5.51 | 94.0 | 89.1 | 4.82 | 26.49 |
65-74 y | |||||||||
Nondense | 16 301 | 16.99 | 116 | 7.12 | 6.75 | 94.8 | 92.2 | 8.03 | 41.16 |
Dense | 4589 | 26.15 | 41 | 8.93 | 7.63 | 85.4 | 90.6 | 7.53 | 33.33 |
All | 101 973 | 18.96 | 493 | 4.83 | 4.42 | 91.5 | 88.9 | 3.85 | 24.57 |
Digital Breast Tomosynthesis | |||||||||
40-49 y | |||||||||
Nondense | 4305 | 28.34 | 19 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 100 | 89.6 | 4.09 | 15.57 |
Dense | 4037 | 35.42 | 28 | 6.94 | 5.20 | 75.0 | 86.0 | 3.60 | 19.58 |
50-64 y | |||||||||
Nondense | 8194 | 23.92 | 35 | 4.27 | 4.03 | 94.3 | 93.2 | 5.61 | 17.35 |
Dense | 4345 | 28.31 | 36 | 8.29 | 7.59 | 91.7 | 94.4 | 8.25 | 27.64 |
65-74 y | |||||||||
Nondense | 3113 | 27.95 | 33 | 10.60 | 9.64 | 90.9 | 94.4 | 14.78 | 36.78 |
Dense | 939 | 30.88 | 9 | 9.58 | 9.58 | 100 | 93.9 | 13.64 | 31.03 |
All | 24 933 | 28.08 | 160 | 6.42 | 5.82 | 90.6 | 91.3 | 6.29 | 22.29 |
Breast density was based on fourth edition Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS)20 categories (1, almost entirely fat; 2, scattered fibroglandular densities; 3, heterogeneously dense; and 4, extremely dense) collapsed into nondense (BI-RADS 1 or 2) and dense (BI-RADS 3 or 4).
Positive predictive value–1 was defined as the number of examinations with cancer detected among those with positive screenings, and positive predictive value–3 was defined as the number of examinations with cancer detected among those with biopsies performed.