Table 3. Sensitivity Analyses of the Probability That Augmented Locked Storage Prevents a Death That Would Have Otherwise Occurreda.
Probability of Augmented Locked Storage | Incidence Rate Ratio | Deaths Prevented, Median (IQR) [Range] | |
---|---|---|---|
Median (IQR) [Range] | Significant Repetitions, %b | ||
43% Probability That Safe Storage Would Prevent a Death That Would Have Otherwise Occurred | |||
10% | 0.97 (0.96-0.97) [0.95-0.98] | 0 | 33 (30-37) [17-54] |
20% | 0.93 (0.93-0.94) [0.90-0.96] | 0.6 | 68 (62-72) [41-100] |
30% | 0.90 (0.89-0.91) [0.87-0.93] | 93.7 | 101 (94-108) [71-129] |
40% | 0.87 (0.86-0.87) [0.83-0.90] | 100 | 134 (128-141) [102-175] |
50% | 0.83 (0.83-0.84) [0.79-0.87] | 100 | 167 (159-175) [129-208] |
78% Probability That Safe Storage Would Prevent a Death That Would Have Otherwise Occurred | |||
10% | 0.94 (0.93-0.95) [0.92-0.96] | 0 | 60 (55-66) [36-84] |
20% | 0.88 (0.87-0.89) [0.84-0.91] | 100 | 122 (115-129) [89-158] |
30% | 0.82 (0.81-0.82) [0.78-0.86] | 100 | 183 (176-192) [144-225] |
40% | 0.76 (0.75-0.77) [0.72-0.80] | 100 | 244 (235-253) [202-283] |
50% | 0.70 (0.69-0.71) [0.65-0.74] | 100 | 306 (296-315) [265-356] |
Abbreviation: IQR, interquartile range.
Each row represents a simulation; 1000 repetitions were estimated per simulation.
Percentage of repetitions of a given simulation where the upper bound of the CI for the incidence rate ratio is less than 1.