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. 2018 Oct 29;2018(10):CD012661. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD012661.pub2

Meigs 2003.

Name of study Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA)
Inclusion criteria Community dwelling volunteers, largely from the Baltimore (MD) and Washington, D.C. areas; primarily white middle‐ and upper‐middle socioeconomic class aged 21–96 years, being examined approximately every 2 years; open cohort design with dropouts replaced (around 1000 persons at each study cycle); attending at least 3 examinations and an OGTT within an 8‐year period
Exclusion criteria 2 or fewer OGTTs or > 4 years elapsed between any 2 OGTTs
Notes Baseline data for the IFG‐IGT cohort (N = 265); follow‐up time: at least 6 years 77%, at least 10 years 44%, at least 16 years 16%, at least 20 years 4.5%
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Study participation: description of source population or population of interest Low risk Yes
Study participation: description of glycaemic status at baseline Low risk Yes
Study participation: adequate description of sampling frame & recruitment Low risk Yes
Study participation: adequate description of period & recruitment place Low risk Yes
Study participation: adequate description of inclusion & exclusion criteria Low risk Inclusion and exclusion criteria described
Study attrition: description of attempts to collect information on participants who dropped out High risk Scarce data
Study attrition: reasons for loss to follow‐up provided Unclear risk Scarce data
Study attrition: adequate description of participants lost to follow‐up Unclear risk Scarce data
Study attrition: no important differences between participants who completed the study and those who did not Unclear risk Not reported
Glycaemic status measurement: provision of clear definition or description of glycaemic status Low risk Yes
Glycaemic status measurement: valid and reliable method of glycaemic status measurement Low risk Yes
Glycaemic status measurement: continuous variables reported or appropriate cut points used Low risk IFG: FPG 6.1–6.9 and 2‐h PG ≤ 7.8; IGT: FPG < 6.1 and 2‐h PG 7.8–11.0; IFG/IGT
Glycaemic status measurement: same method and setting of measurement of the glycaemic status for all study participants Low risk Yes
Outcome measurement: clear definition of the outcome provided Low risk FPG ≥ 7.0; 2‐h PG ≥ 11.1 (IFG‐IGT: diabetes defined by OGTT)
Outcome measurement: method of outcome measurement used valid & reliable Low risk Yes
Outcome measurement: same method & setting of outcome measurement for all study participants Low risk Yes
Study confounding: important confounders measured Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Study confounding: clear definitions of important confounders provided Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Study confounding: measurement of confounders valid & reliable Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Study confounding: same method & setting for measurements of confounders for all study participants Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Study confounding: appropriate methods used if missing confounder data imputed Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Study confounding: important potential confounders accounted for in study design Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Study confounding: important potential confounders accounted for in the analysis Unclear risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rates
Statistical analysis & reporting: sufficient presentation of data to assess adequacy of the analytic strategy Low risk Cumulative incidence, incidence rate
Statistical analysis & reporting: the statistical model is adequate for the design of the study Low risk Kaplan‐Meier product limit estimates