Table A1.
Segmented autoregressive integrated moving average analysis of medical expenditure of respiratory disease.
| Total Medical Expenditure (Million CNY) |
Discharge Number | Expenditure per Capita (Thousand CNY) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β a | SE b | p Value | β a | SE b | p Value | β a | SE b | p Value | |
| Baseline trend c | 2.40 *** | 0.44 | 0.000 | 187.87 | 56.23 | 0.001 | −0.01 | 0.03 | 0.803 |
| Level change 1 d | −19.83 ** | 5.77 | 0.001 | −1933.02 | 716.52 | 0.007 | −0.05 | 0.30 | 0.867 |
| Trend change 1 e | −1.07 * | 0.45 | 0.017 | −67.09 | 54.51 | 0.218 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.405 |
| Level change 2 f | −14.31 ** | 5.24 | 0.006 | −1798.85 | 565.95 | 0.001 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.800 |
| Trend change 2 g | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.711 | 13.97 | 50.94 | 0.784 | −0.02 | 0.02 | 0.240 |
| Gender (Male, %) | −252.26 | 136.86 | 0.065 | −38,323.15 | 15,388.11 | 0.013 | −6.12 | 5.31 | 0.249 |
| Age (>65, %) | 197.38 *** | 63.37 | 0.002 | 20,786.77 | 7752.75 | 0.007 | −2.51 | 2.89 | 0.386 |
| second quarter | −7.19 | 4.07 | 0.077 | −470.57 | 478.06 | 0.325 | −0.12 | 0.17 | 0.479 |
| third quarter | −9.90 * | 4.45 | 0.026 | −645.27 | 581.55 | 0.267 | −0.20 | 0.23 | 0.373 |
| fourth quarter | −10.63 | 5.48 | 0.053 | −889.35 | 669.29 | 0.184 | −0.03 | 0.19 | 0.890 |
| Cons | 91.55 | 97.16 | 0.346 | 17,301.38 | 10,469.47 | 0.198 | 5.40 | 4.05 | 0.182 |
| AR1 | −0.10 | 0.14 | 0.475 | −0.13 | 0.17 | 0.444 | −0.59 *** | 0.15 | 0.000 |
| AR2 | −0.68 *** | 0.12 | 0.000 | −0.65 | 0.12 | 0.000 | −0.56 ** | 0.19 | 0.004 |
| Ljung−Box Q | 10.73 | / | 0.979 | 15.23 | / | 0.852 | 12.58 | / | 0.923 |
a Coefficient of each variety; b Standard error of each variety; c Baseline time trend of dependent variable; d, e, f, g Instant change and time trend change of GBPS pilot and implemented.