Table 2. Performance of all prediction models under consideration.
Model | AUC-ROC | Absolute AUC-ROC Change |
---|---|---|
Framingham Score | 0.724 ± 0.004 | Baseline model |
Cox PH Model (7 core variables) | 0.734 ± 0.005 | + 1.0% |
Cox PH Model (all variables) | 0.758 ± 0.005 | + 3.4% |
Support Vector Machines | 0.709 ± 0.061 | - 1.5% |
Random Forest | 0.730 ± 0.004 | + 0.6% |
Neural Networks | 0.755 ± 0.005 | + 3.1% |
AdaBoost | 0.759 ± 0.004 | + 3.5% |
Gradient Boosting | 0.769 ± 0.005 | + 4.5% |
AutoPrognosis (7 core variables) | 0.744 ± 0.005 | + 2.0% |
AutoPrognosis (369 non-lab. variables) | 0.761 ± 0.005 | + 3.7% |
AutoPrognosis (104 lab. variables) | 0.735 ± 0.008 | + 1.1% |
AutoPrognosis (all variables) | 0.774 ± 0.005 | + 5.0% |
The Framingham score is provided as the reference model for comparative purposes.