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. 2019 Apr 10;11(4):509. doi: 10.3390/cancers11040509

Table 4.

Predictive performances of prediction models in derivation set (n = 921).

Time-Dependent AUROC (95% CI)
Year SNAVCORN ART SNACOR p-value p-value
SNAVCORN vs. ART SNAVCORN vs. SNACOR
Year 1 0.812 (0.769–0.856) 0.588 (0.531–0.645) 0.762 (0.707–0.818) <0.001 <0.001
Year 3 0.734 (0.396–0.770) 0.503 (0.462–0.545) 0.662 (0.621–0.704) <0.001 <0.001
Year 5 0.700 (0.663–0.737) 0.490 (0.450–0.529) 0.634 (0.593–0.675) <0.001 <0.001
ABCR HAP mHAPII p-value p-value p-value
SNAVCORN vs. ABCR SNAVCORN vs. HAP SNAVCORN vs. mHAPII
Year 1 0.786 (0.728–0.844) 0.744 (0.698–0.790) 0.705 (0.655–0.756) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
Year 3 0.667 (0.609–0.725) 0.688 (0.650–0.725) 0.658 (0.619–0.696) 0.003 <0.001 <0.001
Year 5 0.617 (0.556–0.677) 0.644 (0.627–0.702) 0.650 (0.612–0.687) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001

AUROC, area under receiver-operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval. SNAVCORN score features baseline tumor Size (≥5 cm), tumor Number (≥4), AFP level (≥400 ng/mL), presence of Vascular invasion, Child–Pugh score (≥6), the absence of Objective Response after TACE, and NLR (≥5); ART score features an increase in the AST level of >25%, an increase in the Child–Pugh score of 1 or 2 points from baseline, and the absence of a radiological tumor response; ABCR score features baseline AFP level (>200 ng/mL) and BCLC stage, a rise in the Child–Pugh score of ≥2 points from baseline, and the absence of a radiological Response; SNACOR model features tumor Size (≥5 cm), tumor Number (≥4), the baseline AFP level (≥400 ng/mL), Child–Pugh class B status, and the absence of an Objective radiological Response; HAP score features albumin (<36 g/dL), AFP level (>400 ng/mL), bilirubin (>17 μmol/L), and maximal tumor size (>7 cm); mHAP II score features albumin (<36 g/dL), AFP level (>400 ng/mL), bilirubin (>17 μmol/L), maximal tumor size (>7 cm), and tumor number (≥2).