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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Child Maltreat. 2018 Nov 22;24(2):181–192. doi: 10.1177/1077559518814364

Table 2.

Comparison of spatio-temporal regression Bayesian models for overall child maltreatment, child sexual abuse, child physical abuse, and child neglect. Posterior mean, standard deviation (SD) and 95% credible interval (CrI) of all parameters

Overall child maltreatment Child sexual abuse Physical abuse Neglect

Mean SD 95% CrI Mean SD 95% CrI Mean SD 95% CrI Mean SD 95% CrI
Intercept −.658 .229 −1.108, −.191 −.738 .238 −1.212, −.264 −.934 .254 −1.410, −.425 −1.141 .278 −1.645, −.556
% families in poverty .016* .010 −.003, .035 .018* .011 −.016, .040 .034** .013 .009, .058 .031** .014 .003, .058
Unemployment rate .001 .006 −.012, .013 .002 .009 −.016, .020 .007 .011 −.014, .031 .023* .013 −.002, .051
% vacant housing .016* .013 −.008, .043 .025* .016 −.005, .057 .006 .020 −.014, .045 .033* .022 −.010, .076
Total crime rate .002** .001 .000, .005 .002* .001 .000, .005 .003* .002 −.001, .006 .001 .002 −.002, .004
σθ .185 .032 .127, .253 .162 .038 .092, .240 .184 .059 .004, .309 .331 .052 .294, .441
σϕ .309 .079 .162, .466 .205 .085 .039, .375 .189 .111 .016, .438 .524 .124 .272, .763
σα .037 .030 .001, .111 .053 .045 .003, .164 .066 .055 .002, .204 .224 .108 .043, .473
ρ .947 .021 .899, .979 .945 .032 .871, .987 .940 .042 .837, .992 .838 .054 .723, .930
*

Posterior probability of being under or over zero > .80

**

Posterior probability of being under or over zero > .95

Abbreviations: SD, standard deviation; CrI, credible interval; σθ, standard deviation unstructured term; σϕ, standard deviation spatially structured term; σα standard mean deviation of the risk; ρ, temporal correlation.