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. 2019 May 17;16(5):e1002784. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002784

Table 4. Multivariable-adjusted risk factor analysis using Cox PH model for first recurrence and Cox CGT for all recurrences.

First recurrence 2009 Adjusted 2010 Adjusted
HR P-value 95% CI HR P-value 95% CI
All PCR-detected recurrences Effect of ethnicity according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence: Effect of ethnicity = nonsignificant
No P. falciparum infection 2.21 0.002 [1.33; 3.67] No
P. falciparum infection 0.07 0.059 [0.003; 1.11]
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to ethnic groups: Effect of prior P. falciparum before P. vivax
M’nong 99.19 0.001 [6.16; 1,597.55] 1
Cadong 2.98 0.002 [1.48; 5.99] 5.33 0.012 [1.45; 19.62]
Patent Prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence
No 1 1
Yes 6.51 <0.001 [3.66; 11.56] 5.92 0.018 [1.36; 25.75]
Symptomatic Prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence
No 1
Yes 7.83 <0.001 [4.25; 14.44]
All recurrences 2009 2010
All PCR-detected recurrences Effect of malaria treatment according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence:
No P. falciparum infection 6.35 <0.001 [4.32; 9.33] 8.94 <0.001 [5.07; 15.77]
P. falciparum infection 0.72 0.118 [0.47; 1.09] 1.53 0.482 [0.47; 5.02]
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to malaria treatment:
No malaria treatment 5.89 <0.001 [4.34; 7.98] 5.06 <0.001 [2.57; 9.96]
Malaria treatment 0.66 0.09 [0.41; 1.07] 0.87 0.800 [0.29; 2.63]
Patent Effect of malaria treatment according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence:
No P. falciparum infection 21.40 <0.001 [10.61; 43.18]
P. falciparum infection 0.77 0.365 [0.44; 1.35]
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to malaria treatment:
No malaria treatment 6.34 <0.001 [4.21; 9.54]
Malaria treatment 0.23 <0.001 [0.10; 0.50]
Prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence
No 1
Yes 1.80 0.07 [0.96; 3.37]
Prior ACT/CQ treatment before P. vivax recurrence
No 1
Yes 13.83 <0.001 [3.85; 49.72]
Symptomatic Effect of malaria treatment according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence:
No P. falciparum infection 6.22 <0.001 [2.80; 13.82]
P. falciparum infection 1.07 0.88 [0.45; 2.54]
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to malaria treatment:
No malaria treatment 5.65 <0.001 [2.81; 11.35]
Malaria treatment 0.97 0.95 [0.38; 2.46]
Prior ACT/CQ treatment before P. vivax recurrence
No 1
Yes 6.05 0.001 [2.17; 16.86]

Among patients recruited in 2009, a significant interaction term (HR = 0.03; P = 0.016) for the hazard of first PCR-detected recurrence was found between ethnicity and prior P. falciparum infection. Similarly, significant interaction terms were found for the hazard of all PCR-detected recurrences (HR = 0.11, P < 0.001); patent recurrences (HR = 0.035, P < 0.001) and symptomatic recurrences (HR = 0.17, P = 0.03). For patients recruited in 2010, a significant interaction term (HR = 0.17; P = 0.008) for the hazard of all PCR-detected recurrences was found between prior P. falciparum infection and prior antimalaria treatment. Abbreviations: ACT, artemisinin-based combination therapy; CGT, Conditional Gap Time; CQ, chloroquine; HR, Hazard Ratio; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; PH, Proportional Hazard.