Table 4. Multivariable-adjusted risk factor analysis using Cox PH model for first recurrence and Cox CGT for all recurrences.
First recurrence | 2009 Adjusted | 2010 Adjusted | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | P-value | 95% CI | HR | P-value | 95% CI | ||
All PCR-detected recurrences | Effect of ethnicity according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence: | Effect of ethnicity = nonsignificant | |||||
No P. falciparum infection | 2.21 | 0.002 | [1.33; 3.67] | No | |||
P. falciparum infection | 0.07 | 0.059 | [0.003; 1.11] | ||||
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to ethnic groups: | Effect of prior P. falciparum before P. vivax | ||||||
M’nong | 99.19 | 0.001 | [6.16; 1,597.55] | 1 | |||
Cadong | 2.98 | 0.002 | [1.48; 5.99] | 5.33 | 0.012 | [1.45; 19.62] | |
Patent | Prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence | ||||||
No | 1 | 1 | |||||
Yes | 6.51 | <0.001 | [3.66; 11.56] | 5.92 | 0.018 | [1.36; 25.75] | |
Symptomatic | Prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence | ||||||
No | 1 | ||||||
Yes | 7.83 | <0.001 | [4.25; 14.44] | ||||
All recurrences | 2009 | 2010 | |||||
All PCR-detected recurrences | Effect of malaria treatment according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence: | ||||||
No P. falciparum infection | 6.35 | <0.001 | [4.32; 9.33] | 8.94 | <0.001 | [5.07; 15.77] | |
P. falciparum infection | 0.72 | 0.118 | [0.47; 1.09] | 1.53 | 0.482 | [0.47; 5.02] | |
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to malaria treatment: | |||||||
No malaria treatment | 5.89 | <0.001 | [4.34; 7.98] | 5.06 | <0.001 | [2.57; 9.96] | |
Malaria treatment | 0.66 | 0.09 | [0.41; 1.07] | 0.87 | 0.800 | [0.29; 2.63] | |
Patent | Effect of malaria treatment according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence: | ||||||
No P. falciparum infection | 21.40 | <0.001 | [10.61; 43.18] | ||||
P. falciparum infection | 0.77 | 0.365 | [0.44; 1.35] | ||||
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to malaria treatment: | |||||||
No malaria treatment | 6.34 | <0.001 | [4.21; 9.54] | ||||
Malaria treatment | 0.23 | <0.001 | [0.10; 0.50] | ||||
Prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence | |||||||
No | 1 | ||||||
Yes | 1.80 | 0.07 | [0.96; 3.37] | ||||
Prior ACT/CQ treatment before P. vivax recurrence | |||||||
No | 1 | ||||||
Yes | 13.83 | <0.001 | [3.85; 49.72] | ||||
Symptomatic | Effect of malaria treatment according to prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence: | ||||||
No P. falciparum infection | 6.22 | <0.001 | [2.80; 13.82] | ||||
P. falciparum infection | 1.07 | 0.88 | [0.45; 2.54] | ||||
Effect of prior P. falciparum infection before P. vivax recurrence according to malaria treatment: | |||||||
No malaria treatment | 5.65 | <0.001 | [2.81; 11.35] | ||||
Malaria treatment | 0.97 | 0.95 | [0.38; 2.46] | ||||
Prior ACT/CQ treatment before P. vivax recurrence | |||||||
No | 1 | ||||||
Yes | 6.05 | 0.001 | [2.17; 16.86] |
Among patients recruited in 2009, a significant interaction term (HR = 0.03; P = 0.016) for the hazard of first PCR-detected recurrence was found between ethnicity and prior P. falciparum infection. Similarly, significant interaction terms were found for the hazard of all PCR-detected recurrences (HR = 0.11, P < 0.001); patent recurrences (HR = 0.035, P < 0.001) and symptomatic recurrences (HR = 0.17, P = 0.03). For patients recruited in 2010, a significant interaction term (HR = 0.17; P = 0.008) for the hazard of all PCR-detected recurrences was found between prior P. falciparum infection and prior antimalaria treatment. Abbreviations: ACT, artemisinin-based combination therapy; CGT, Conditional Gap Time; CQ, chloroquine; HR, Hazard Ratio; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; PH, Proportional Hazard.