Table 1.

Description of scenarios based on key drivers (Kohler et al., 2017b).

Key driver	Positive scenario	Trend scenario	Negative scenario
Touristic services, i.e. managed grassland	Very important	Important	Less important
Demand for local products	High demand	Moderate demand	No demand
Demand for areas for settlement or energy production	Low demand	Low demand	High demand
Supplementary income (on-/off-farm)	Important	Important	Very important
Farm succession	Guaranteed	In most cases certain	In most cases uncertain
Land-use structural change	Intensification of some sites in the valleys/slight increase in abandonment at higher altitudes	Intensification of some sites in the valleys/slight increase in abandonment at higher altitudes	Farmers expand their businesses or stop farming
Subsidies	Direct payments important for income	Direct payments important for income	Direct payments do not guarantee secure income
Regulations	No retirement of livestock farmers	Retirement of some small-scale livestock farmers	Retirement of small-scale livestock farmers
Cooperation among farmers/with municipality	Creative cooperation and new income possibilities	Good	Less cooperation
Sustaining cultural landscape	Important	Important	Not important
Climate change	No influence on farming system, but on some farming practices (e.g. irrigation)	No influence on farming system, but on some farming practices (e.g. irrigation)	No influence on farming system, but on some farming practices (e.g. irrigation)