Table 3:

Parameter estimates for monthly childhood vaccinations in the Forest region, Guinea, from January, 2013, to February, 2016

	BCG			Pentavalent			Polio			Measles			Yello wfever
	β	95% Cl	p val ue	β	95% Cl	p value	β	95% Cl	p value	β	95% Cl	p value	β	95% Cl	p value
Number of childhood vaccinations at beginning of pre-Ebola period (β0)	5752	2821 to 8682	0.0005	7498	7154 to 7841	<0.0001	6953	6380 to 7526	<0.0001	7788	7443 to 8133	<0.0001	8043	7621 to 8464	<0.0001
Average monthly change in number of vaccinations over pre-Ebola period (β1)	321	58 to 584	0.0193	93	50 to 136	0.0002	118	47 to 190	0.0025	119	53 to 185	0.0012	106	44to 167	0.0017
Average monthly change in number of vaccinations during Ebola virus disease outbreak (β2)	−3048	−5879 to-216	0.0362	−1483	−2469 to-497	0.0051	−3594	−4811 to-2377	<0.0001	−1328	−2474to-l82	0.0252	−1075	−215 8 to 7	0.0514
Difference between trend in vaccinations during Ebola virus disease outbreak compared with p re-disease period (β3)	−419	−683 to-155	0.0034	−313	−446 to-179	<0.0001	−108	−276 to 61	01976	−357	−483 to-231	<0.0001	−363	−488 to-238	<0.0001
Average monthly change in number of vacc i nati on s d u ri ng post-Ebola period (β4)	128	−2776 to 3031	0.928	655	−1009 to 2320	0422	76	−1145 to 1297	0.898	1024	−516 to 2565	0481	1295	−245 to 2835	0.095
Difference between trend in vaccinations during post-Ebola period compared with outbreak period (β5)	−127	−328 to 73	0.2014	154	10 to 299	0.0373	−107	−262 to 47	01630	81	−27 to 189	0.1338	58	−57 to 172	0.3056
Overall trends
Lineartrend during outbreak (β1 + β3)	−99	−332 to 135	0.3899	−220	−3 63 to-77	0.0042	11	−139 to 161	0.8841	−238	−371 to-105	0.0013	−258	−391 to-125	0.0006
Lineartrend after outbreak (β1 + β3 + β5)	−226	−520 to 68	0.1251	−66	−201 to 70	0.3248	−97	−179 to-14	0.0240	−157	−249 to-65	0.0018	−200	−298 to-102	0.0004

Data are from the segmented ordinary least–square regression model. BCG=Bacille Calmette-Guerin (anti-tuberculosis vaccine). p value tests the null hypothesis that each of the coefficients is equal to zero, following the model specification and description in the methods section.