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. 2018 May 21;146(10):1245–1252. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001267

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© Cambridge University Press 2018

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Fig. 2. — Predicted outbreak sizes in Hokkaido (a) and Ibaraki (b) Prefectures under current vaccination coverage, and without vaccination (c and d). Dashed and solid arrows shows the 97.5th percentile and maximum of final size.