Table 5.
Parameter | Value space | Mean (95% CI) | Range |
---|---|---|---|
Reproduction number | 1.2 | 1.9 (1–6) | 1–15 |
1.6 | 2.7 (1–11) | 1–51 | |
2.0 | 3.9 (1–23) | 1–89 | |
2.42a | 4.7 (1–37) | 1–106 | |
Vaccination coverage | 0% | 21.7 (1–110) | 1–152 |
30% | 11.4 (1–75) | 1–124 | |
51.8%a | 4.7 (1–37) | 1–106 | |
70% | 3.2 (1–17) | 1–82 | |
Probability of releasing a rabid owned dog | 5% | 3.1 (1–11) | 1–62 |
10% | 3.3 (1–13) | 1–114 | |
50%a | 4.7 (1–37) | 1–106 | |
90% | 12.0 (1–81) | 1–126 | |
Probability that a rabid stray dog selects a stray dog to bite | 0.9% | 3.8 (1–18) | 1–50 |
10% | 4.0 (1–19) | 1–53 | |
50%a | 4.7 (1–37) | 1–106 | |
90% | 11.3 (1–154) | 1–204 |
Default values for Ibaraki model with current vaccination coverage.