Table 1.

Results of the ecological niche models, including percentage of Iberia predicted to be climatically suitable under present and future (2070, RCP 8.5) conditions and percentage range changes within Iberia

Taxon	n	AUC ROC	TSSa	AUC-test	Percentage suitable, present	Percentage suitable, future	Percentage range change
Myotis escalerai, all	313	0.941	0.781	0.850	38.40	20.38	−46.94
M. escalerai, hot–dry	19	0.914	0.727	0.876	46.82	49.50	+5.72
M. escalerai, cold–wet	41	0.946	0.806	0.841	29.27	12.08	−58.73
Myotis crypticus, all	168	0.926	0.729	0.896	20.51	2.61	−87.28
M. crypticus, hot–dry	25	0.908	0.752	0.836	14.34	7.54	−47.42
M. crypticus, cold–wet	18	0.940	0.798	0.896	4.89	<0.01	−99.96

See SI Appendix, Table S2, for range change projections across the study area and for the RCP 4.5 scenario. AUC ROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for ensemble models; AUC-test, AUC cross-validation scores for Maxent models; n, sample size. Bold denoted projected range increases.

^aFor ensemble models.