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. 2019 May 23;12:1673–1684. doi: 10.2147/JPR.S191183

Table 2.

Trajectory model goodness of fit indices

Number of trajectories Opioid trajectory
Linear Linear + quadratic
AIC BIC SC (%) AIC BIC SC (%)
1 11,661.17 11,669.16 100 11,558.96 11,569.62 100
2 9815.50 9831.48 29.2 9512.10 9533.41 29.2
3 8865.47 8889.44 22.6 8321.96 8353.92 22.6
4 8378.71 8410.67 17.9 7642.71 7685.33 17.9
5 7793.72 7833.67 7.5 6708.04* 6761.31* 7.5*
6 7560.05 7607.99 2.8 6274.58 6338.51 2.8

Notes: *Indicates model with the best fit based on lowest Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), >0.80 entropy (reflecting high confidence of group membership), a minimum trajectory class size of 5% of total study population, parsimony and theoretical soundness.

Abbreviation: AIC, Akaike information criterion; BIC, Bayesian information criterion; SC, smallest class size.