Fig. 5.

Sensitivity of estimated poaching rates to different simulated conservation targets. Each box represents 3000 median MCMC samples from model predictions between 2006 and 2017, where each covariate in turn is set to the best value at any site, country or year, while the other covariates were set to their observed values. The white box displays poaching rate median estimates without simulated intervention. Boxplot centre lines represent median estimates, box bounds first and third quartiles, and whiskers 90% CIs. For predictions, precipitation was set to the average value across sites and years to reduce variation in natural mortality rates across sites and years. The colour scheme is the same as in Fig. 3