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. 2019 May 28;10:2269. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09991-4

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© The Author(s) 2019

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 1 — PfRc (geometric mean from the Malaria Atlas Project-MAP) and predicted PfRc (geometric mean from authors' predictions). The figure provides a static simulation of the model, as a simplified prediction of PfRc compared to the true values of PfRc provided by the Malaria Atlas Project. The blue line provides estimates from a standard fixed-effects model (within country). The orange line provides estimates from the Arellano−Bond model. The green line provides the Malaria Atlas Project PfRc