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. 2019 Apr 9;5(1):e000512. doi: 10.1136/bmjsem-2019-000512

Table 3.

Summary estimate of prevalence of exposure (Pe), adjusted relative risk (RRadj) and the PAF for two cardiovascular conditions (coronary artery diseases and hypertension), and the methods for calculating the PAF attributable to leisure-time PA domain and/or subsets

Publication
(author, year, country, journal, design)
Outcome
(endpoint, subtype)
Prevalence of exposure
(%Pe)
RRadj
subgroup
HR (95% CI)
RRadj (95% CI)
Domain and/or subset-specific
%PAF (95% CI)
PAF
(calculation method)
Coronary artery disease
Grau et al,45
2010,
Spain,
Preventive Medicine, prospective cohort study.
Coronary artery disease.
Endpoint: incidence and mortality.
Subtype: overall acute myocardial infarction, angina pectoris.
Age group: 35–74 years old
1995: 67.8
2000: 56.0
2005: 50.2
Age group: 35–54 years old
1995: 69.2
2000: 52.9
2005: 47.1
Age group: 55–74 years old
1995: 66.5
2000: 59.5
2005: 53.4
Subgroup age:
Age group: 35–74 years old
HR: 0.91 (0.32 to 2.60)
Age group: 35–54 years old
HR: 0.95 (0.56 to 1.58)
Age group 55–74 years old
HR: 0.96 (0.60 to 1.51)
Moderate-intensity, vigorous-intensity leisure activity (subsets not specified):
35–74 years old: −5 (−63 to 58)
35–54 years old: −7 (−39 to 24)
55–74 years old: −5 (−32 to 22)
Estimated HR and PI prevalence (Pe) were entered into crude Levin’s equation:
PAF=[Pe(RRcrude1)1+Pex(RRcrude1)]x100
Bootstrap method was used to estimate CI.
Hypertension
Paffenbarger et al,44
1983,
USA,
American Journal of Epidemiology, prospective cohort study.
Hypertension.
Endpoint: incident.
Subtype: stage 2 hypertension.
Men: 65% Subgroup sex:
Men: 1.52 (1.18 to 1.86)
Activity of daily living:
stair-climbing and block-walking.
+
Vigorous-intensity sports: men: 25.3 (10.4 to 35.8)*
Estimated RRadj and PI prevalence (Pe) were entered into crude Levin’s equation:
PAF=[Pex(RRcrude1)1+Pex(RRcrude1)]x100
Suka et al,27
2002,
Japan,
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine,
prospective cohort study
Hypertension.
Endpoint: incident.
Subtype: stage 1 hypertension.
Men.
All subjects: 86.5%.
Age group: 30–39 years old: 78.7%
Age group: 40–49 years old: 86.4%
Age group: 50–59 years old: 85.9%
Subgroup sex-age:
Men.
All subjects:
1.17 (1.03 to 1.33)
Age group: 30–39 years old: 1.68 (0.89 to 3.22)
Age group: 40–49 years old: 1.20 (1.04 to 1.38)
Age group: 50–59 years old: 0.82 (0.56 to 1.22)
Exercise subset: ≥20 min, ≥2 days/week (intensity not specified)
All subjects: 13 (3 to 22)
Age group: 30–39 years old: 37 (0 to 66)
Age group: 40–49 years old: 15 (4 to 25)
Age group: 50–59 years old: 0 (0 to 16)
Estimated RRadj and PI prevalence (Pe) were entered into crude Levin’s equation:
PAF=[Pex(RRcrude1)1+Pex(RRcrude1)]x100

*Substitution method was used to construct 95% CI for the PAF.

PA, physical activity; PAF, population attributable fraction; PI, physical inactivity.