Figure 5.

Absolute annual number of patients with lung cancer in the United States requiring (A) surgery, (B) radiotherapy, (C) chemotherapy, and (D) any therapy with the implementation of low‐dose computed tomography screening for lung cancer in 2018. All policies assume an adherence level of 5% in 2018 with an annual increase of 5 percentage points until a constant adherence of 50% is reached in 2027. CMS indicates Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services recommendations (annual screening of current smokers and former smokers who quit fewer than 15 years ago, aged 55‐77 years, with a smoking history of at least 30 pack‐years); Ontario, most cost‐effective policy from a study for Cancer Care Ontario (annual screening of current smokers and former smokers who quit fewer than 10 years ago, aged 55‐75 years, with a smoking history of at least 40 pack‐years); USPSTF, US Preventive Services Task Force recommendations (annual screening of current smokers and former smokers who quit fewer than 15 years ago, aged 55‐80 years, with a smoking history of at least 30 pack‐years).