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. 2019 May 29;9:8046. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-44469-9

Table 2.

ARCH effect of the observations and residuals of the selected three models with LM test at various lags.

Lags Observed values SARIMA model NAR model LSTM model
LM-test P LM-test P LM-test P LM-test P
1 54.599 <0.001 1.869 0.172 0.262 0.609 0.002 0.961
3 73.920 <0.001 2.669 0.446 2.823 0.420 0.440 0.932
6 72.753 <0.001 3.575 0.734 2.972 0.812 3.338 0.765
9 71.185 <0.001 4.703 0.859 14.741 0.098 5.216 0.815
12 73.136 <0.001 14.080 0.296 11.422 0.493 7.294 0.838
15 71.275 <0.001 14.566 0.483 30.219 0.011 10.241 0.804
18 69.282 <0.001 15.566 0.623 32.252 0.020 13.735 0.746
21 67.505 <0.001 20.645 0.481 34.845 0.029 0.7462 0.881
24 73.785 <0.001 21.094 0.633 34.774 0.072 14.815 0.926
27 71.487 <0.001 25.263 0.560 36.360 0.108 18.172 0.898
30 68.830 <0.001 27.984 0.571 38.706 0.133 19.899 0.919
33 66.153 <0.001 32.378 0.498 41.990 0.136 22.538 0.915
36 64.210 <0.001 33.766 0.575 46.280 0.117 23.631 0.944