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. 2019 May 20;10:10–31. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2019.04.006

Table 1.

Study design and setting overview.

Reference Study design Setting Population Time horizon HIV prevalencea Perspectiveb Intervention description
VMMC
Binagwaho et al. (2010) [15] Deterministic compartmental simulation Rwanda 0-49 yoc, male population Lifetime 2.7% Health care payer Scale-up of VMMC to infants, adolescents, and adults
Njeuhmeli et al. (2011) [16] Deterministic compartmental simulation Sub-Saharan Africa 15-49 yo, general population Lifetime 4.8% Health care payer Scale-up of VMMC
Uthman et al. (2011) [17] Probabilistic decision analysis Sub-Saharan Africa 15 + yo, male population Lifetime 5.5% Health care payer Uptake of VMMC
Duffy et al. (2013) [18] Cross-sectional descriptive cost-analysis Uganda 18 yo and older, male population Lifetime 5.9% Health care payer PrePex device for VMMC
Menon et al. (2014) [19] Impact analysis Tanzania 10-49 yo, male population Lifetime 4.5% Health care payer Scale-up of VMMC
Awad et al. (2015) [20] Deterministic compartmental simulation Zimbabwe 10-49 yo, male population 15 years 13.3% Health care payer Prioritisation of VMMC subpopulations by age, geographic location, sexual risk profile
Awad et al. (2015) [21] Deterministic compartmental simulation Zambia 10-49 yo, male population 15 yearsc 11.5% Health care payer Prioritisation of VMMC subpopulations by age, geographic location, sexual risk profile
Haacker et al. (2016) [22] Deterministic compartmental simulation South Africa 15-59, male population Lifetime 18.8% Health care payer Age prioritised VMMC scale up
Kripke et al. (2016) [23] Deterministic compartmental simulation Malawi 10 + yo; male population 15 years 9.6% Health care payer Age prioritised VMMC scale up
Kripke et al. (2016) [24] Deterministic compartmental simulation Zimbabwe 20-29 yo; male population 15 years 13.3% Health care payer Age prioritised VMMC scale up
Kripke et al. (2016) [25] Deterministic compartmental simulation Sub-Saharan Africa 10-49 yo; male population 15 years 4.8% Health care payer Age prioritised VMMC scale up
Kripke et al. (2016) [26] Deterministic compartmental simulation Eswatini 10-49 yo; male population 15 years 27.4% Health care payer Age prioritised VMMC scale up
Kripke et al. (2016) [27] Deterministic compartmental simulation Malawi, South Africa, Eswatini, Tanzania, Uganda 10-49 yo; male population 15 years 9.6% (Malawi)
18.8% (South Africa)
27.4% (Eswatini)
4.5% (Tanzania)
5.9% (Uganda)
Health care payer Age prioritised VMMC scale up
Njeuhmeli et al. (2016) [28] Deterministic compartmental simulation Zimbabwe Male infants 36 years 13.3% Health care payer Early infant male circumcision



PrEP
Pretorius et al. (2010) [29] Deterministic compartmental simulation South Africa 15-49 yo, general population 10 years 18.8% Health care payer PrEP is scaled up to recruit all uninfected individuals
Hallett et al. (2011) [30] Microsimulation South Africa HIV serodiscordant couples Lifetime 18.8% Health care payer PrEP for uninfected partner in serodiscordant relationships
Cremin et al. (2013) [31] Deterministic compartmental simulation KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa 15-54 yo, general population 10 years 27.0% (KZNc)ref Program Combination prevention strategies of VMMC, early ART, and PrEP
Nichols et al. (2013) [32] Deterministic compartmental simulation Macha, Zambia 12 + yo, general population 10 years 7.7% (Macha) Health care payer Prioritisation of PrEP
Verguet et al. (2013) [33] Deterministic compartmental simulation Sub-Saharan Africa 15-49 yo, general population 5 years 4.8% Health care payer PrEP intervention to pre-existing levels of MC, ART, and condom use
Alistar et al. (2014) [34] Dynamic compartmental simulation South Africa 15-49 yo, general population 20 years 18.8% Health care payer PrEP is scaled up to recruit all uninfected individuals
Nichols et al. (2014) [35] Deterministic compartmental simulation Macha, Zambia 12 + yo, general population 40 years 7.7% (Macha) Health care payer Uptake of PrEP and TasP in combination
Cremin et al. (2015) [36] Deterministic compartmental simulation Nyanza province, Kenya General population 5 years 13.9% (Nyanza) Health care payer Dynamic interaction between key determinants of PrEP impact and cost-effectiveness
Cremin et al. (2015) [37] Deterministic compartmental simulation Gaza province, Mozambique Adult male mine workers 5 years 30.0% (female)
17.0% (male)
Health care payer Time-limited PrEP uptake among sexual partners of miners
Ying et al. (2015) [38] Micro-costing analysis Uganda HIV serodiscordant couples 10 years 7.1% Program Targeted PrEP for serodiscordant couples
Glaubius et al. (2016) [39] Deterministic compartmental simulation South Africa 15-54 yo, general population 1) 10yrs
2) lifetime
18.8% Societal Long-acting injective antiretrovirals used for PrEP
Walensky et al. (2016) [40] Deterministic compartmental simulation South Africa 18-25 yo, high risk women 5 years Incidence: 5.0% (high risk women) Program Long-acting PrEP
Cremin et al. (2017) [41] Deterministic compartmental simulation Nairobi, Kenya Key populations 10 years 4.8% Health care payer PrEP provided to FSW



TasP
Barnighausen et al. (2012) [42] Discrete time mathematical model South Africa 15 + yo, general population 10 years 18.8% Health care payer Increased coverage of TasP, ART under the current WHO eligibility guidelines, and MMC
Granich et al. (2012) [43] Deterministic compartmental simulation South Africa 15 + yo, general population 1) 5 years
2) 40 years
18.8% Program Enhanced combination prevention strategy
Smith et al. (2015) [44] Individual-based simulation modelling study KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa 18 + yo, general population 10 years 27.0% (KZN)ref Health care payer Home HIV counselling and testing
Bershteyn et al. (2016) [45] Individual-based simulation modelling study South Africa General population 20 years 18.8% Health care payer Age-targeting outreach with HIV treatment and prevention
Ying et al. (2016) [46] Dynamic compartmental model KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa General population 10 years 27.0% (KZN)ref Program Home HIV testing and counselling



PMTCT
Halperin et al. (2009) [47] Modelling analysis Sub-Saharan Africa Pregnant, HIV-infected women 1 year 4.8% Service delivery Antiretroviral prophylaxis programs and family planning programs
Nakakeeto et al. (2009) [48] Forecasting model Burkina Faso, Cameroon,
Cote d’Ivoire,
Malawi, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Zambia
HIV-infected women, HIV-exposed infants 8 years 0.8% (Burkina Faso)
3.7% (Cameroon)
2.8% (Cote d’Ivoire)
9.6% (Malawi)
2.7% (Rwanda)
4.5% (Tanzania)
11.5% (Zambia)
Health care payer PMTCT package including: family planning, HIV testing and counselling, and provision of antiretroviral and cotrimoxazole prophylaxis
Orlando et al. (2010) [49] Cost-effectiveness analysis Malawi Pregnant, HIV-infected women 42 months 16.9% (ANC) Societal and Private HAART-based intervention
Robberstad et al. (2010) [50] Decision analysis Tanzania Pregnant, HIV-infected women 18 months 6.6% (ANC) Health care payer HAART-based intervention
Shah et al. (2011) [51] Decision-based analytical model Nigeria Pregnant, HIV-infected women 1 year 2.8% Health care payer 2009 WHO PMTCT guidelines (long-course ART)
Kuznik et al. (2012) [52] Cost-effectiveness analysis Uganda Pregnant, HIV-infected women 19.3 years 7.1% Health care payer Combination ART
Binagwaho et al. (2013) [53] Cost-effectiveness analysis Rwanda HIV-infected pregnant women and their infants Lifetime 2.7% Health care payer Dual ARV and short course HAART prophylaxis with breastfeeding or replacement feeding
Fasawe et al. (2013) [54] Decision analysis Malawi Pregnant, HIV-infected women 10 years 16.9% (ANC) Health care payer Implementation of Option B +
Maredza et al. (2013) [55] Cost-effectiveness analysis South Africa Pregnant, HIV-infected women 24 months 28.0% (ANC) Health care payer HAART-based intervention
Gopalappa et al. (2014) [56] Deterministic compartmental simulation Kenya, South Africa, Zambia 15-49 yo, female population Lifetime 5.9% (Kenya)
18.8% (South Africa)
11.5% (Zambia)
Program Implementation of Option B +
Ishikawa et al. (2014) [57] Decision analysis Zambia Pregnant, HIV-infected women 18 months 11.5% Health care payer Comparison between Option A, Option B, and Option B +
Yu et al. (2014) [58] Decision analysis South Africa Pregnant, HIV-infected women 18 months 28.0% (ANC) Health care payer 1) tested and treated promptly at any time during pregnancy (promptly treated cohort), 2) no testing or treatment until after delivery and appropriate standard treatments were offered (remedy treated cohort)
Zulliger et al. (2014) [59] Cost-effectiveness analysis South Africa Pregnant, HIV-infected women 1 year 28.0% (ANC) Health care payer Expedited initiation onto lifelong ART in pregnant women who met South African ART eligibility criteria
Price et al. (2016) [60] Decision analysis Zambia Pregnant women Lifetime 11.5% Health care payer Daily oral PrEP during pregnancy and breastfeeding
Tweya et al. (2016) [61] Individual-based simulation modelling study Malawi Primigravida women 50 years 16.9% (ANC) Health care payer Option B vs. Option B +



Other biomedical
Verguet et al. (2010) [62] Cost-effectiveness analysis South Africa 15-49 yo, female population 1 year 26.3% (Female) Health care payer Impact of microbicides distributed alongside condoms
Williams et al. (2011) [63] Dynamic compartmental model South Africa General population 20 years 18.8% Health care payer Tenofovir gel uptake by sexually active women
Long et al. (2013) [64] Dynamic compartmental simulation South Africa 15-49 yo, general population 10 years 18.8% Health care payer HIV screening and counselling, ART, VMMC, microbicides
Mbah et al. (2013) [65] Dynamic compartmental simulation Zimbabwe 15-49 yo, female population 10 years 13.3% Health care payer Praziquantel as a preventive
anthelminthic chemotherapy
Terris-Prestholt et al. (2014) [66] Deterministic compartmental simulation Gauteng Province, South Africa 15-49 yo, general population +
FSW and their partners
15 years 17.6% (Gauteng) Health care payer Uptake of tenofovir gel by women
Mvundura et al. (2015) [67] Impact analysis Sub-Saharan Africa 15-49 yo, general population 1 year 4.8% Health care payer Distribution of 100,000 female condoms
Moodley et al. (2016) [68] Semi-Markov simulation South Africa Adolescents enrolled in school Lifetime 10.2% (females 15-24)
3.9% (males 15-24)
Health care payer Hypothetical HIV vaccination provided to adolescent students
Moodley et al. (2016) [69] Semi-Markov simulation South Africa Adolescents girls enrolled in school Lifetime 10.2% (females 15-24)
3.9% (males 15-24)
Health care payer National implementation of hypothetical HIV vaccination to adolescents
Wall et al. (2018) [70] Cost-benefit analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis Zambia HIV serodiscordant couples 5 years 11.5% Donor Couples’ testing and counselling with TasP for seropositive partner



Behavior change
Enns et al. (2011) [71] Stochastic network simulation Eswatini, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia 15-49 yo, general population 10 years 27.4% (Eswatini)
4.7% (Tanzania)
7.1% (Uganda)
11.5% (Zambia)
Program Concurrency reduction campaigns focused on behaviour change scenario: 1) increased monogamy, 2) high-risk partnership reduction, 3) untargeted partnership reduction



Structural
Fieno et al. (2014) [72] Cost simulation South Africa Women aged 15-20 yo, bottom quarter of income distribution 6 years 18.8% Health care payer Cash transfers
Remme et al. (2014) [73] Cost-benefit analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis Malawi Adolescent girls attending school 18 months 9.6% Health care payer Cash transfers
Rutstein et al. (2014) [74] Decision-tree model Malawi 15-49 yo, partners of STI clinic indexes 1 year 9.6% Health care payer Partner notification
a

World Bank 2017 HIV prevalence estimates

b

Health care payer perspective refers to costs incurred or saved by the governmental healthcare system; Donor perspective refers to costs incurred of saved by international donors; Program and service delivery perspective refers to costs incurred by a stakeholders implementing HIV program; Societal perspective refers to all of society regardless of the payer; Private perspective takes into account the costs incurred by service providers

c

Abbreviations: ANC = antenatal care clinic; ARV = antiretrovirals; ART = antiretroviral therapy; FSW = female sex worker; HAART = highly active antiretroviral therapy; KZN = KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; MC = male circumcision; MMC = medical male circumcision; PMTCT = prevention of mother-to-child transmission; PrEP = pre-exposure prophylaxis; TasP = treatment as prevention; VMMC = voluntary medical male circumcision; WHO = World Health Organization; yo = years old.