Table 3.
1. Establish the initial level of certainty |
2. Consider lowering or raising the level of certainty |
3. Final level of certainty rating |
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Study design | Initial confidence in an estimate of effect | Lower if | Higher if | Certainty in an estimate of effect across those considerations |
Randomized controlled trials | High | Risk of bias | Large effect | ⊕⊕⊕⊕ High |
Observational studies | Low | Inconsistency | Dose response | ⊕⊕⊕Ο Moderate |
Indirectness | All plausible confounding and bias would reduce a demonstrated effect or would suggest a spurious effect if no effect was observed | ⊕⊕ΟΟ Low |
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Imprecision | ⊕ΟΟΟ Very low |
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Publication bias |
GRADE = Grading of Recommendation Assessment, Development, and Evaluation.