Table 4.
Sensitivity analyses of hyperprior parameters α, β on the operating characteristics of the BaCIS model: Posterior probability and the effective sample size (ESS) with different priors of τ3 (θt = 0.92, ϕ1 = 0.1, ϕ2 = 0.3) using the same outcomes of (1/25, 3/25, 6/25, 7/25, 9/25).
| Priors | Subgroups | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subgroups | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Observed Response Rates | 1/25 | 3/25 | 6/25 | 7/25 | 9/25 |
| Classification | L | L | H | H | H |
| α = 50, β = 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0.251 | 0.299 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ2) | 0 | 0 | 0.381 | 0.422 | 0.517 |
| Effective sample size (ESS) | 33.62 | 45.07 | 38.21 | 40.01 | 43.24 |
| α = 50, β = 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0.198 | 0.364 | 0.998 | 0.999 | 1 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ2) | 0 | 0.001 | 0.304 | 0.408 | 0.62 |
| Effective sample size (ESS) | 32.54 | 37.95 | 30.88 | 31.44 | 32.21 |
| α = 10, β = 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0.194 | 0.361 | 0.998 | 0.999 | 1 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ2) | 0 | 0.001 | 0.303 | 0.405 | 0.619 |
| Effective sample size (ESS) | 32.76 | 37.91 | 30.89 | 31.57 | 32.16 |
| α = 5, β = 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0.162 | 0.412 | 0.995 | 0.998 | 1 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ2) | 0 | 0.003 | 0.279 | 0.398 | 0.656 |
| Effective sample size (ESS) | 32.31 | 34.11 | 28.29 | 28.92 | 28.93 |
| α = 2, β = 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0.13 | 0.474 | 0.988 | 0.997 | 1 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0 | 0.006 | 0.256 | 0.395 | 0.688 |
| Effective sample size (ESS) | 31.98 | 30.57 | 26.76 | 26.78 | 26.70 |
| α = 1, β = 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ1) | 0.131 | 0.473 | 0.989 | 0.996 | 1 |
| Prob(pi > ϕ2) | 0 | 0.005 | 0.260 | 0.395 | 0.677 |
| Effective sample size (ESS) | 31.69 | 30.72 | 26.94 | 27.17 | 27.00 |