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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Biom J. 2018 Dec 3;61(5):1219–1231. doi: 10.1002/bimj.201700275

Table 4.

Sensitivity analyses of hyperprior parameters α, β on the operating characteristics of the BaCIS model: Posterior probability and the effective sample size (ESS) with different priors of τ3 (θt = 0.92, ϕ1 = 0.1, ϕ2 = 0.3) using the same outcomes of (1/25, 3/25, 6/25, 7/25, 9/25).

Priors Subgroups
Subgroups 1 2 3 4 5
Observed Response Rates 1/25 3/25 6/25 7/25 9/25
Classification L L H H H
α = 50, β = 2 1 2 3 4 5
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0.251 0.299 1 1 1
Prob(pi > ϕ2) 0 0 0.381 0.422 0.517
Effective sample size (ESS) 33.62 45.07 38.21 40.01 43.24
α = 50, β = 10 1 2 3 4 5
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0.198 0.364 0.998 0.999 1
Prob(pi > ϕ2) 0 0.001 0.304 0.408 0.62
Effective sample size (ESS) 32.54 37.95 30.88 31.44 32.21
α = 10, β = 2 1 2 3 4 5
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0.194 0.361 0.998 0.999 1
Prob(pi > ϕ2) 0 0.001 0.303 0.405 0.619
Effective sample size (ESS) 32.76 37.91 30.89 31.57 32.16
α = 5, β = 2 1 2 3 4 5
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0.162 0.412 0.995 0.998 1
Prob(pi > ϕ2) 0 0.003 0.279 0.398 0.656
Effective sample size (ESS) 32.31 34.11 28.29 28.92 28.93
α = 2, β = 2 1 2 3 4 5
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0.13 0.474 0.988 0.997 1
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0 0.006 0.256 0.395 0.688
Effective sample size (ESS) 31.98 30.57 26.76 26.78 26.70
α = 1, β = 1 1 2 3 4 5
Prob(pi > ϕ1) 0.131 0.473 0.989 0.996 1
Prob(pi > ϕ2) 0 0.005 0.260 0.395 0.677
Effective sample size (ESS) 31.69 30.72 26.94 27.17 27.00