Table 1.
10-year risk group | < 1.5%a | < 2% | 2–3.49% | 3.5–4.9% | 5–7.9% | 8% + | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total in group | 1596 | 3003 | 3038 | 1587 | 1129 | 605 | 9362 |
BC before sampling | 23 | 59 | 87 | 76 | 45 | 33 | 300 |
Number in prospective group | 1573 | 2944 | 2951 | 1511 | 1084 | 572 | 9062 |
% in Group | 17.36% | 32.49% | 32.56% | 16.67% | 11.96% | 6.31% | 100.00% |
Prospective BC number | 10 | 26 | 52 | 39 | 36 | 42 | 195 |
Prospective DCIS | 2 (20%) | 4 (15.4%) | 8 (15.4%) | 5 (12.8%) | 5 (13.9%) | 4 (9.5%) | 26 (13.3%) |
Stage 2+ | 2 (20%) | 8 (30.8%) | 13 (25%) | 13 (33.3%) | 17 (47.2%) | 16 (38.1%) | 68 (34.9%) |
% with prospective BC/total | 0.64% | 0.88% | 1.76% | 2.58% | 3.32% | 7.34% | 2.15% |
% of all stage 2+ cancers | 2.9% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 25% | |
Years of follow-up | 9845.9 | 18361.8 | 18263.7 | 9304.1 | 6645.8 | 3482.1 | 56057.6 |
Expected BC by TCDRSNP | 11.17 | 26.14 | 48.61 | 38.52 | 40.89 | 41.36 | 195.51 |
Expected BC by TC | 21.23 | 42.89 | 54.39 | 34.04 | 30.44 | 22.51 | 184.27 |
Rate 10-year | 1.02% | 1.42% | 2.85% | 4.19% | 5.42% | 12.06% | 3.48% |
Rate 10-year Stage 2+ | 0.2% | 0.43% | 0.71% | 1.39% | 2.55% | 4.59% | |
OR of stage 2+ incidence | Ref | 2.15 | 3.55 | 6.95 | 12.75 | 22.95 |
aThe 1.5% risk group includes women also in the < 2% group to assess which is the better low-risk threshold