Table 2.
Results of the comparison of performance between the milestone method and the AUC method.
| Trial | End-point | Median (months) | Milestone survival rate (%) | AUC (months) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Experimental arm | Control arm | Experimental arm | Control arm | Experimental arm | Control arm | ||
| Gefitinib vs. paclitaxel + carboplatin in patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer | Progression-free survival | 9.1 | 5.4 | 65.8% at 8 months | 25.9% at 8 months | 11.3* | 6.86* |
| Ipilimumab + dacarbazine vs. placebo + dacarbazine in patients with metastatic melanoma | Overall survival | 11.2 | 9.1 | 18.2% at 5 years | 8.8% at 5 years | 23.1** | 16.1** |
The ratio of the two values of AUC (0.61) is not similar to the hazard ratio reported in the original trial (0.38; 95% CI, 0.26–0.56).
The ratio of the two values of AUC (0.70) is similar to the hazard ratio reported in the original trial (0.69; 95% CI, 0.57–0.84).
All survival information was drawn from the article by Hellman et al. (12); the values of median survival were those of the original trials.