Table 3.
Scaling Factors for Emissions in Different Categories Used in Simulations for the Business‐as‐Usual Scenario and the Target Mitigation Scenario
| Scenario | Year | Livestock | Wastewater and other industrial | Landfill | Oil and gas | Other | F (%) |
Total emissions (Gg CH4 per year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base/EDGAR | 2008 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1,849 |
| BAU | 2030 | 0.97 | 1.10 | 0.89 | 1.14 | 1 | 35 | 1,858 |
| Target | 2030 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.72 | 0.55 | 1 | 29 | 1,200 |
Note. Base refers to current estimates taken to be representative of 2014, where we use the EDGAR estimate for 2008. F is the statewide fossil fraction in each scenario. BAU refers to projected changes under existing regulations (CARB, 2017c). Target refers to projected changes as a result of new regulations (CARB, 2017c).