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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am Econ Rev. 2019 May;109(5):1684–1716. doi: 10.1257/aer.20151057

Table 4:

Counterfactual: Universal 10% Increase in Medicaid Rates

Baseline No Market Expansion
Absolute %Δ Spending Absolute %Δ Spending
Δ CS 212.0 64.1% 202.6 89.0%
Δ Profits 149.4 45.2% 103.7 45.5%
Δ Spending 330.7 100.0% 227.7 100.0%

Δ Welfare 30.7 9.3% 78.6 34.5%

Avg Δ SN/Res 8.7% 8.7%
Avg Δ P −4.5% −4.5%

Notes. Absolute values are measured in million dollars. The right panel presents welfare estimates holding nursing home demand (market shares) fixed.