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. 2019 May 20;116(23):11195–11200. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1817205116

Table 1.

Projected sea-level rise contributions from each ice sheet and combined

Year and ice sheet Low High
Mean ± SD 50% 5–95% 17–83% Mean ± SD 50% 5–95% 17–83%
2050
 PW01 SLR 11 ± 8 10 1–27 5–18 15 ± 12 12 1–38 6–24
 GrIS 7 ± 5 5 2–18 3–11 9 ± 7 6 2–27 4–14
 WAIS 7 ± 8 5 0–23 1–7 5 ± 6 4 0–18 1–10
 EAIS 0 ± 2 0 −4–4 −2–1 0 ± 4 0 −6–7 −3–2
2100
 PW01 SLR 32 ± 25 26 3–81 12–53 67 ± 56 51 7–178 22–112
 GrIS 19 ± 16 13 2–57 7–31 33 ± 30 23 2–99 10–60
 WAIS 13 ± 16 8 −3–44 2–23 27 ± 33 18 −5–93 3–46
 EAIS 3 ± 6 0 −8–12 −3–4 6 ± 17 2 −11–46 −4–11
2200
 PW01 SLR 89 ± 72 72 5–231 30–149 204 ± 260 130 5–750 40–251
 GrIS 49 ± 47 34 5–149 19–79 77 ± 69 55 3–216 23–122
 WAIS 37 ± 45 26 −24–128 1–76 80 ± 113 51 −25–324 −3–138
 EAIS 4 ± 15 2 −15–34 −6–10 48 ± 158 6 −29–398 −10–19
2300
 PW01 SLR 155 ± 137 120 0–426 47–259 310 ± 322 225 14–988 87–466
 GrIS 78 ± 75 55 7–237 30–145 130 ± 117 98 7–349 39–225
 WAIS 67 ± 88 44 −47–248 6–131 117 ± 136 83 −36–384 7–228
 EAIS 10 ± 41 3 −29–96 −8–24 63 ± 195 10 −53–498 −14–51

Individual ice sheet and total sea-level contributions for both temperature scenarios and for the four periods considered: 2050, 2100, 2200, and 2300. All values assume the dependencies elicited for the 2100 H case. Because the PDFs are not Gaussian, the mean and median values differ; the latter is a better measure of central tendency. All values are cumulative from 2000 and include the baseline imbalance for 2000–2010 of 0.76 mm y−1. The AR5-defined likely range (17–83%) is provided alongside the 90% credible interval. PW01 denotes the performance weighted combination of experts based on their calibration score.