Table 1.
Year and ice sheet | Low | High | ||||||
Mean ± SD | 50% | 5–95% | 17–83% | Mean ± SD | 50% | 5–95% | 17–83% | |
2050 | ||||||||
PW01 SLR | 11 ± 8 | 10 | 1–27 | 5–18 | 15 ± 12 | 12 | 1–38 | 6–24 |
GrIS | 7 ± 5 | 5 | 2–18 | 3–11 | 9 ± 7 | 6 | 2–27 | 4–14 |
WAIS | 7 ± 8 | 5 | 0–23 | 1–7 | 5 ± 6 | 4 | 0–18 | 1–10 |
EAIS | 0 ± 2 | 0 | −4–4 | −2–1 | 0 ± 4 | 0 | −6–7 | −3–2 |
2100 | ||||||||
PW01 SLR | 32 ± 25 | 26 | 3–81 | 12–53 | 67 ± 56 | 51 | 7–178 | 22–112 |
GrIS | 19 ± 16 | 13 | 2–57 | 7–31 | 33 ± 30 | 23 | 2–99 | 10–60 |
WAIS | 13 ± 16 | 8 | −3–44 | 2–23 | 27 ± 33 | 18 | −5–93 | 3–46 |
EAIS | 3 ± 6 | 0 | −8–12 | −3–4 | 6 ± 17 | 2 | −11–46 | −4–11 |
2200 | ||||||||
PW01 SLR | 89 ± 72 | 72 | 5–231 | 30–149 | 204 ± 260 | 130 | 5–750 | 40–251 |
GrIS | 49 ± 47 | 34 | 5–149 | 19–79 | 77 ± 69 | 55 | 3–216 | 23–122 |
WAIS | 37 ± 45 | 26 | −24–128 | 1–76 | 80 ± 113 | 51 | −25–324 | −3–138 |
EAIS | 4 ± 15 | 2 | −15–34 | −6–10 | 48 ± 158 | 6 | −29–398 | −10–19 |
2300 | ||||||||
PW01 SLR | 155 ± 137 | 120 | 0–426 | 47–259 | 310 ± 322 | 225 | 14–988 | 87–466 |
GrIS | 78 ± 75 | 55 | 7–237 | 30–145 | 130 ± 117 | 98 | 7–349 | 39–225 |
WAIS | 67 ± 88 | 44 | −47–248 | 6–131 | 117 ± 136 | 83 | −36–384 | 7–228 |
EAIS | 10 ± 41 | 3 | −29–96 | −8–24 | 63 ± 195 | 10 | −53–498 | −14–51 |
Individual ice sheet and total sea-level contributions for both temperature scenarios and for the four periods considered: 2050, 2100, 2200, and 2300. All values assume the dependencies elicited for the 2100 H case. Because the PDFs are not Gaussian, the mean and median values differ; the latter is a better measure of central tendency. All values are cumulative from 2000 and include the baseline imbalance for 2000–2010 of 0.76 mm y−1. The AR5-defined likely range (17–83%) is provided alongside the 90% credible interval. PW01 denotes the performance weighted combination of experts based on their calibration score.