Graphs show fitted probabilities of each health and social problem across the distribution of polygenic risk. Models were adjusted for sex. Gray lines intersecting the Y-axis show the frequency of the health or social problem in E-Risk. Shaded areas around the fitted slopes show 95% Confidence intervals. Probability of obesity is graphed against polygenic risk for obesity (RR=1.26 [1.14–1.38], n=1,837); probability of mental-health problems is graphed against polygenic risk for schizophrenia (RR=1.13 [1.02–1.26], n=1,863); probability of teen pregnancy is graphed against polygenic risk for young age-at-first-birth 1.40 [1.19–1.64], n=1,825); probabilities of poor educational qualification and NEET (Not in Education, Employment, or Training) status are graphed against polygenic risk for low educational attainment (poor educational qualification RR=1.47 [1.34–1.60], n=1,860; NEET RR 1.32 [1.15–1.52], n=1,863) (Supplementary Table 1). Effect-sizes are reported for a 1-SD increase in polygenic risk.