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. 2019 Apr 9;20(3-4):264–274. doi: 10.1080/21678421.2019.1587629

Table 3.

Summary of prevalence estimates for males, females, and both at baseline and for each modeled scenario, showing first and last year of available data.

  Male prevalence per 100,000
Female prevalence per 100,000
Overall prevalence per 100,000
  2020 2116 2020 2116 2020 2116
Baseline 9.34 11.12 7.88 8.65 8.58 9.67
Scenario 1
(overall 3-month survival increase)
10.16 12.15 8.57 9.44 9.34 10.56
Scenario 2
(50% survival increase in SOD1 mutation carriers)
9.52 11.34 8.04 8.82 8.75 9.87
Scenario 3
(50% survival increase in C9orf72 mutation carriers)
9.80 11.68 8.27 9.08 9.01 10.16
  2020 2066 2020 2066 2020 2066
Baseline 9.34 10.55 7.88 8.67 8.58 9.50
Scenario 4
(halt progression in C9orf72 mutation carriers)a
14.55 17.24 12.44 14.36 13.49 15.68
a

Scenario 4 comparisons are shown for the years 2020 and 2066, which is the last year for which projected life expectancy data is available.