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. 2018 Jul 18;153(11):1012–1019. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2018.2083

Table 2. Adjusted Linear Regression Estimating the Number of Opioid Pills Prescribed and Total Morphine Milligram Equivalents (MME) Prescribed.

Variable Estimate (95% CI)
No. of Pills MME
Intercept 30.17 (27.31 to 33.02) 227.33 (205.27 to 249.39)
Study period
Before default change 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
After default change −5.22 (−6.12 to −4.32) −34.41 (−41.36 to −27.47)
Age, y −0.01 (−0.04 to 0.04) −0.21 (−0.52 to 0.09)
Sex
Male 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Female −0.50 (−1.63 to 0.63) −14.35 (−23.08 to −5.63)
Race/ethnicity
Asian 2.43 (−0.71 to 5.57) 17.17 (−7.10 to 41.44)
African American −0.04 (−1.51 to 1.43) −0.25 (−11.61 to 11.12)
Hispanic −1.47 (−2.90 to −0.03) −12.41 (−23.52 to −1.30)
White 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Unknown/refused −1.28 (−5.09 to 2.53) −18.21 (−47.65 to 11.22)
Patient history
Substance abuse 1.56 (−1.02 to 4.13) 11.86 (−8.05 to 31.77)
Chronic pain 1.60 (−0.26 to 3.46) 21.49 (7.11 to 35.87)
Insurance status
Private 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Medicaid 0.99 (−0.42 to 2.40) 10.81 (−0.10 to 21.7)
Medicare −2.06 (−3.41 to −0.70) −16.59 (−27.04 to −6.14)
Self-pay −0.94 (−3.58 to 1.71) −8.50 (−28.91 to 11.91)
Other −1.05 (−5.03 to 2.92) 10.63 (−20.05 to 41.32)
Prescriber level
Attending physician 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Fellow −4.18 (−7.59 to −0.76) −23.52 (−49.93 to 2.88)
Resident −0.65 (−2.25 to 0.94) 8.55 (−6.14 to 23.2)
Advanced practice professional −0.10 (−2.00 to 1.80) −3.37 (−15.70 to 8.95)
Procedure type
Laparoscopic cholecystectomy 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Thyroidectomy −3.77 (−5.74 to −1.80) −72.20 (−87.41 to −57.00)
Cystoscopy and treatment −9.59 (−11.34 to −7.80) −72.87 (−86.67 to −59.08)
Cystoureterogram with lithotripsy −4.52 (−6.28 to −2.75) −40.36 (−53.98 to 26.74)
Laparoscopic inguinal hernia repair 0.79 (−1.30 to 2.88) 6.63 (−9.54 to 22.80)
Laparoscopic appendectomy −3.77 (−5.64 to −1.91) −32.57 (−46.98 to −18.16)
Partial mastectomy −3.83 (−5.43 to −2.24) −44.30 (−56.62 to −31.98)
Total knee arthroplasty 13.42 (11.24 to 15.61) 126.60 (109.74 to 143.46)
Parathyroidectomy 0.64 (−1.51 to 2.78) −55.04 (−71.59 to −38.48)
Hysteroscopy and biopsy −14.2 (−16.50 to −11.93) −102.95 (−120.57 to −85.32)